Will BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings?
Earnings|$4,379 Vol|
time7 hrs 11 mins

Will BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings? - AI Found +14.5¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 04.13 23:55
Top Undervalued
+14.5¢
(Yes)

Will BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings? AI analysis: • +14.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
BlackRock has a strong track record of beating earnings estimates. Despite a recent sharp, temporary...
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Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 15?
Weather|$12.7k Vol|
time1 days 6 hrs

Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 15?

Top Undervalued
+8¢
25°C(No)
+5.5¢
23°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest meteorological sources, the highest temperature for Chengdu Shuangliu Intern...
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Exotics
While weather forecasting is an everyday activity, betting on the exact temperature range of a specific city's weather station on a given day is a relatively niche and novelty topic for the general public.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Denver on April 15?
Weather|$11.8k Vol|
time1 days 6 hrs

Highest temperature in Denver on April 15?

Top Undervalued
+24.5¢
70-71°F(Yes)
+21¢
66-67°F(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest 7-day weather forecast from the National Weather Service (NWS) specifically ...
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Divergence
Currently, the '64-65°F' option is leading the market at 22.5c, while '70-71°F' is only priced at 18c. This diverges from the latest explicit NWS forecast, which predicts a high near 70°F. The divergence is likely due to the market lagging behind the latest weather updates or investors factoring in the volatility of high-altitude weather. As time progresses and forecast certainty increases, capital will likely migrate towards the 70-71°F range.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 15?
Weather|$10.5k Vol|
time1 days 6 hrs

Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 15?

Top Undervalued
+9.2¢
21°C or below(No)
+6.5¢
24°C(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest weather forecasts, the high temperature in Wuhan (Tianhe International Airpo...
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Exotics
Moderately exotic. While betting on the daily high temperature of a specific city is a niche market, weather prediction is a common daily derivative format in prediction markets and is not entirely bizarre.
Divergence
Current meteorological models (such as AccuWeather) forecast a high of around 22°C for April 15. However, the market assigns the highest probability to 23°C (34c) and 24°C (23c). This suggests that traders anticipate the actual recorded temperature will slightly exceed the mainstream forecasted values, creating a moderate divergence.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 15?
Weather|$45.9k Vol|
time1 days 6 hrs

Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 15?

Top Undervalued
+26¢
15°C or higher(No)
+16.4¢
14°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Recent weather forecasts indicate that the highest temperature in Warsaw on April 15, 2026, is expec...
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Exotics
This is a prediction about the high temperature in a specific city on a specific date. While weather forecasting is a common daily activity, setting up a specific short-term prediction market for an exact degree in Warsaw is a relatively niche and specific market.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 15?
Weather|$13.9k Vol|
time1 days 6 hrs

Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 15?

Top Undervalued
+25¢
62-63°F(No)
+7.5¢
58-59°F(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest weather forecast data, the maximum temperature at San Francisco Internationa...
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Movers
On April 13, 2026, the price of '56-57°F' dropped from 16.5c to 4.5c. This occurred because, as the date approaches, weather forecast models are trending towards higher temperatures, largely ruling out the lower temperature ranges. On April 13, 2026, the prices for '50-51°F', '52-53°F', and '54-55°F' also saw significant declines, similarly due to short-term forecasts confirming that the temperature will likely be above 55°F.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
YesNo
65.5¢
34.5¢
80¢
20¢
+14.5¢
⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Hedging
BLK
The earnings result of BlackRock (BLK) directly impacts its own stock price. Typically, earnings beats or misses trigger medium-level volatility (around 5%), making it a tradable event. Although BlackRock is a financial giant, its individual earnings report has a limited direct impact on the broader S&P 500 index.
Movers
April 12, 2026 - April 13, 2026: The price of 'Yes' experienced a sharp drop from 85.5c to 67.5c before rebounding to 79.5c. This sudden volatility of over 10 cents likely reflects last-minute position adjustments, localized de-risking, or overreactions to short-term market rumors right before the earnings call, after which the price restabilized near consensus expectations. April 10, 2026 - April 12, 2026: The market remained relatively stable, with the price of 'Yes' drifting down slightly from 87c to 81.5c. No significant sudden price movement (over 10 cents) was observed. This suggests some investors are taking profits or reducing risk exposure ahead of the earnings release. April 7, 2026 - April 11, 2026: The market remained stable, with the price of 'Yes' fluctuating mildly between 86c and 88c, eventually settling around 86.5c. No significant sudden price movement (over 10 cents) was observed, indicating stable market expectations ahead of the earnings release. April 6, 2026 - April 9, 2026: The market remained stable, with the price of 'Yes' fluctuating mildly between 86c and 92.5c, eventually settling around 87c. No significant sudden price movement (over 10 cents) was observed. This gradual adjustment reflects investors balancing profit-taking with sustained bullish sentiment as the earnings date approaches. April 4, 2026 - April 7, 2026: No significant sudden price movement (over 10 cents) was observed. The price of 'Yes' fluctuated mildly between 86c and 92.5c before settling at 88c. April 1, 2026 - April 3, 2026: As there was only limited initial snapshot data, no significant price movement (over 10 cents) had been observed during this period.

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