AI Signal Dashboard
Last updated: 04.13 22:57
Top Undervalued
+46¢
5.0-5.5%(Yes)
+37¢
4.5-5.0%(No)
+2.5¢
4.0-4.5%(No)
China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q1 2026? AI analysis: • +46¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.
Undervalued Options Insights:
With just 3 days left until the Q1 GDP data release, market expectations remain highly concentrated ...
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Outcomes
Market
Price
AI Fair
Value
Value
Edge
5.0-5.5%
YesNo
26¢
74¢
72¢
28¢
+46¢
0¢
4.5-5.0%
YesNo
62¢
38¢
25¢
75¢
0¢
+37¢
Expand to view all 7 options
⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Hedging
Copper
FXI
Crude Oil
AUDUSD
China's Q1 GDP data is a key indicator of global economic health. A miss or beat would directly impact commodities (especially Crude Oil and Copper, given China's consumption) and China-related ETFs (like FXI). The Australian Dollar (AUDUSD), often a proxy for the Chinese economy, would also see significant volatility. While there is some impact on the broader US stock market, it is typically a secondary effect.
Movers
April 10, 2026 - April 13, 2026, the price of the '5.0-5.5%' option rebounded quickly from a brief dip at 44.5c to stabilize above 70c, while '4.5-5.0%' fell from 46.5c to around 27c. The reason is that as the data release approaches, market consensus on Q1 GDP growth reaching over 5% has reconsolidated, anchoring capital back in the high-probability bracket.
April 11, 2026 - April 12, 2026, the price of the '4.5-5.0%' option dropped from 32.5c to 15c, while '5.0-5.5%' rebounded from 60.5c to 71.5c, as the market likely received confirmation of stronger internal indicators or policy effects, triggering drastic position shifts.
April 10, 2026 - April 11, 2026, the price of the '5.0-5.5%' option rebounded sharply from 44.5c to 67.5c, while '4.5-5.0%' dropped from 46.5c to 29.5c, as expectations for meeting the official Q1 economic target warmed up again after brief pessimism.
April 10, 2026, the price of the '4.5-5.0%' option surged from 23.5c to 46.5c, while '5.0-5.5%' plummeted from 75.5c to 44.5c, likely due to institutional forecast downgrades or weakening high-frequency indicators right before the release, causing severe market divergence on whether Q1 GDP can hold at 5%.
March 30, 2026 - April 8, 2026, the '4.5-5.0%' and '5.0-5.5%' options experienced multiple wide swings of over 15c due to volatile leading indicators and fluctuating policy expectations.