Search Google News/Twitter to find and summarize the most direct news sources behind the Anthropic 'Claude Mythos' leak and the current prediction market volatility.

AI-powered analysis for: Search Google News/Twitter to find and summarize the most direct news sources behind the Anthropic 'Claude Mythos' leak and the current prediction market volatility.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Explain the resolution criteria for the 'Claude Mythos' release in simple terms (ELI5), specifically clarifying the difference between public access (Open Beta) and a closed beta.

AI-powered analysis for: Explain the resolution criteria for the 'Claude Mythos' release in simple terms (ELI5), specifically clarifying the difference between public access (Open Beta) and a closed beta.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Review Anthropic's historical model release timelines (e.g., Claude 3) to evaluate the likelihood of Claude Mythos being publicly released by March 31, April 30, or June 30.

AI-powered analysis for: Review Anthropic's historical model release timelines (e.g., Claude 3) to evaluate the likelihood of Claude Mythos being publicly released by March 31, April 30, or June 30.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Search and list the top 3 bearish arguments on why Claude Mythos will NOT be released by April 30, such as technical delays or compute constraints, to break the echo chamber.

AI-powered analysis for: Search and list the top 3 bearish arguments on why Claude Mythos will NOT be released by April 30, such as technical delays or compute constraints, to break the echo chamber.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Search historical data to calculate the average time gap between an 'early access leak' and a 'public release' for OpenAI and Anthropic models over the past year.

AI-powered analysis for: Search historical data to calculate the average time gap between an 'early access leak' and a 'public release' for OpenAI and Anthropic models over the past year.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Based on the latest web leaks about Claude Mythos, infer whether the current options volatility is driven by whale capital or new breaking news.

AI-powered analysis for: Based on the latest web leaks about Claude Mythos, infer whether the current options volatility is driven by whale capital or new breaking news.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Search community history (Reddit/Discord) for similar rule disputes regarding 'AI model version naming mismatches' and their final rulings.

AI-powered analysis for: Search community history (Reddit/Discord) for similar rule disputes regarding 'AI model version naming mismatches' and their final rulings.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Verify the update frequency of Anthropic's official news page to check for any risk of resolution delay due to un-updated websites.

AI-powered analysis for: Verify the update frequency of Anthropic's official news page to check for any risk of resolution delay due to un-updated websites.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Search Twitter for recent opinions from prominent AI KOLs regarding the Claude Mythos release timeline, summarizing their bullish or bearish sentiments.

AI-powered analysis for: Search Twitter for recent opinions from prominent AI KOLs regarding the Claude Mythos release timeline, summarizing their bullish or bearish sentiments.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Extract discussions from Polymarket or Discord to summarize the market's core disagreement on what constitutes 'publicly accessible' (e.g., rolling waitlists).

AI-powered analysis for: Extract discussions from Polymarket or Discord to summarize the market's core disagreement on what constitutes 'publicly accessible' (e.g., rolling waitlists).. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

List potential catalysts, such as tweets from CEO Dario Amodei, that could cause severe price volatility for Claude Mythos options within the next 48 hours.

AI-powered analysis for: List potential catalysts, such as tweets from CEO Dario Amodei, that could cause severe price volatility for Claude Mythos options within the next 48 hours.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Given the multiple deadlines, analyze which side of the 'April 30' option benefits more from time decay (Theta) if no official announcements are made by mid-April.

AI-powered analysis for: Given the multiple deadlines, analyze which side of the 'April 30' option benefits more from time decay (Theta) if no official announcements are made by mid-April.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Search for historical pre-release leaks like Sora or GPT-4o to compare if the current price action matches historical hype fractal patterns.

AI-powered analysis for: Search for historical pre-release leaks like Sora or GPT-4o to compare if the current price action matches historical hype fractal patterns.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Analyze whether Anthropic's release schedule is predictably based on a fixed business rhythm or highly random due to reactive competition.

AI-powered analysis for: Analyze whether Anthropic's release schedule is predictably based on a fixed business rhythm or highly random due to reactive competition.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Recommend 3 high-quality Twitter or YouTube accounts dedicated to tracking LLM leaks and Anthropic insider news.

AI-powered analysis for: Recommend 3 high-quality Twitter or YouTube accounts dedicated to tracking LLM leaks and Anthropic insider news.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Assuming a $1000 investment in the 'June 30' option, calculate the actual net ROI after deducting estimated Gas fees and slippage.

AI-powered analysis for: Assuming a $1000 investment in the 'June 30' option, calculate the actual net ROI after deducting estimated Gas fees and slippage.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Based on the current bid-ask spread and fair value of the Claude Mythos options, suggest an optimal limit order price that is easy to fill without losing edge.

AI-powered analysis for: Based on the current bid-ask spread and fair value of the Claude Mythos options, suggest an optimal limit order price that is easy to fill without losing edge.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Suggest a core fundamental trigger (e.g., Anthropic officially announcing testing is delayed to H2) that dictates an immediate stop-loss.

AI-powered analysis for: Suggest a core fundamental trigger (e.g., Anthropic officially announcing testing is delayed to H2) that dictates an immediate stop-loss.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Based on your confidence level that Anthropic will open Mythos to the public by April 30, suggest a portfolio allocation percentage using the Kelly criterion.

AI-powered analysis for: Based on your confidence level that Anthropic will open Mythos to the public by April 30, suggest a portfolio allocation percentage using the Kelly criterion.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

For the longer-term 'June 30' option, provide a Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) plan based on upcoming key AI industry conferences or milestone events.

AI-powered analysis for: For the longer-term 'June 30' option, provide a Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) plan based on upcoming key AI industry conferences or milestone events.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Claude Mythos released by…?

Tech|$229.3k Vol|

15 days 16 hrs

Claude Mythos released by…? - AI Found +11.5¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 04.10 22:03

Top Undervalued

+11.5¢

June 30(No)

+0.2¢

April 30(No)

Claude Mythos released by…? AI analysis: • +11.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:

As time progresses and with less than 20 days until April 30, Anthropic has provided no further rele...

🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)

All Outcomes

Market Price

AI Fair Value

Value Edge

June 30

YesNo

26.5¢

73.5¢

15¢

85¢

0¢

+11.5¢

April 30

YesNo

3.25¢

96.75¢

3¢

97¢

0¢

+0.2¢

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.

Rule Risk

Medium risk. The rules strictly distinguish between public release/open beta and closed beta, and require specific naming or official confirmation. If Anthropic releases it under a different name without clear confirmation or keeps it in closed beta, resolution disputes could arise.

Movers

April 7, 2026 - April 10, 2026, the price of the 'June 30' option plummeted from 70.5c to 17c, and the 'April 30' option dropped from 23.5c to 3.15c. The reason is the fading hype post-leak and a lack of a clear release timeline from Anthropic, leading to a complete collapse in market confidence regarding a short-term public launch. April 4, 2026 - April 6, 2026, the market was in a wait-and-see state with no short-term price movements exceeding 10 cents observed, showing a slow downward trend overall.