[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Retrieve the latest order book data for the 'CO-05 House Election Winner' market. Given the extremely low volume ($522), analyze the bid-ask spread to determine the true cost of entry and assess if the current odds are severely mispriced relative to the district's historical voting patterns (traditionally a Republican stronghold).

AI-powered analysis for: [Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Retrieve the latest order book data for the 'CO-05 House Election Winner' market. Given the extremely low volume ($522), analyze the bid-ask spread to determine the true cost of entry and assess if the current odds are severely mispriced relative to the district's historical voting patterns (traditionally a Republican stronghold).. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

[General] Key Players Mining: Search for the incumbent status (e.g., is Jeff Crank running for re-election) and the latest Cook Partisan Voting Index (PVI) for Colorado's 5th District. Identify if there are any strong Democratic challengers or recent redistricting changes that might weaken the Republican advantage in this traditionally 'deep red' district.

AI-powered analysis for: [General] Key Players Mining: Search for the incumbent status (e.g., is Jeff Crank running for re-election) and the latest Cook Partisan Voting Index (PVI) for Colorado's 5th District. Identify if there are any strong Democratic challengers or recent redistricting changes that might weaken the Republican advantage in this traditionally 'deep red' district.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

[Low Liquidity] 'Stink Bid' Strategy: Given the dried-up liquidity in this market (<$1000 volume), market buying incurs high slippage. Formulate a strategy to calculate at what price levels to place extremely low limit orders ('Stink Bids') to passively absorb cheap shares from potential panic sellers or impatient traders without chasing the price.

AI-powered analysis for: [Low Liquidity] 'Stink Bid' Strategy: Given the dried-up liquidity in this market (<$1000 volume), market buying incurs high slippage. Formulate a strategy to calculate at what price levels to place extremely low limit orders ('Stink Bids') to passively absorb cheap shares from potential panic sellers or impatient traders without chasing the price.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

CO-05 House Election Winner

Politics|$3,053 Vol|

202 days 2 hrs

CO-05 House Election Winner - AI Found +23¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 04.13 14:16

Top Undervalued

+23¢

Republican Party(Yes)

+12.5¢

Democratic Party(No)

CO-05 House Election Winner AI analysis: • +23¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:

Despite the severe price volatility around April 10, the fundamentals of Colorado's 5th congressiona...

🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)

All Outcomes

Market Price

AI Fair Value

Value Edge

Republican Party

YesNo

55¢

45¢

78¢

22¢

+23¢

0¢

Democratic Party

YesNo

34.5¢

65.5¢

22¢

78¢

0¢

+12.5¢

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.

Movers

April 9, 2026 - April 10, 2026, the price of the Republican Party plummeted from 62c to 41.5c, and then rebounded to 61.5c on April 12. This was likely due to sudden negative rumors regarding the GOP candidate or a liquidity-driven panic, which quickly corrected as sentiment stabilized and fundamentals took over. March 8, 2026 - March 13, 2026, Republican Party price plummeted from 63.5c to 52c. The drop was driven by the market's delayed reaction to the DCCC adding the district to its 'Target List' and the release of an internal poll by Democrat Jessica Killin showing her trailing the incumbent by only 3 points. These bearish headlines triggered panic selling, despite the Cook Political Report maintaining a relatively safe 'Likely R' rating.

Divergence

The prediction market currently prices a Republican victory at only 62 cents, which diverges significantly from the consensus of mainstream political analysts (such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball), who rate the seat as 'Likely Republican' or 'Safe Republican'. Such ratings historically correspond to an 80%+ win probability, indicating the market is pricing this far too conservatively.