What is the historical weekly average of Elon Musk's tweets (including retweets and quote posts) over the past 3 months?

AI-powered analysis for: What is the historical weekly average of Elon Musk's tweets (including retweets and quote posts) over the past 3 months?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Can you explain the resolution rules for this market in simple terms, especially regarding which replies and deleted tweets count?

AI-powered analysis for: Can you explain the resolution rules for this market in simple terms, especially regarding which replies and deleted tweets count?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Have there been any historical disputes regarding data delays or missed tweets by Polymarket's xtracker?

AI-powered analysis for: Have there been any historical disputes regarding data delays or missed tweets by Polymarket's xtracker?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Are there any scheduled major events (e.g., SpaceX launches, Tesla earnings) between April 10-17, 2026, that could act as catalysts for a spike in Elon's tweet volume?

AI-powered analysis for: Are there any scheduled major events (e.g., SpaceX launches, Tesla earnings) between April 10-17, 2026, that could act as catalysts for a spike in Elon's tweet volume?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

What is the core disagreement in the Polymarket community right now? Is it about the tweet tracker rules or estimations of his recent activity?

AI-powered analysis for: What is the core disagreement in the Polymarket community right now? Is it about the tweet tracker rules or estimations of his recent activity?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

What are the top 3 bearish arguments for why Elon Musk's tweet count might be exceptionally low (e.g., under 200) during this week?

AI-powered analysis for: What are the top 3 bearish arguments for why Elon Musk's tweet count might be exceptionally low (e.g., under 200) during this week?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Is Elon Musk's recent tweeting behavior purely random, or are there predictable cyclical patterns?

AI-powered analysis for: Is Elon Musk's recent tweeting behavior purely random, or are there predictable cyclical patterns?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

How reliable is the xtracker.polymarket.com website? What are the risks and variables if it stops updating and X itself is used as the secondary source?

AI-powered analysis for: How reliable is the xtracker.polymarket.com website? What are the risks and variables if it stops updating and X itself is used as the secondary source?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Looking at historical precedents where Elon tweeted over 500 times in a week, does the current environment match those highly active periods?

AI-powered analysis for: Looking at historical precedents where Elon tweeted over 500 times in a week, does the current environment match those highly active periods?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

If Elon tweets less than 20 times per day in the first two days of the tracking period, how will time decay (Theta) affect the pricing of higher brackets?

AI-powered analysis for: If Elon tweets less than 20 times per day in the first two days of the tracking period, how will time decay (Theta) affect the pricing of higher brackets?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

What is the slippage risk for a $1,000 position in this multi-bracket market given the current order book depth and bid-ask spread?

AI-powered analysis for: What is the slippage risk for a $1,000 position in this multi-bracket market given the current order book depth and bid-ask spread?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Can you translate the implied probability of the most popular bracket (e.g., 300-319 tweets) into an intuitive metaphor?

AI-powered analysis for: Can you translate the implied probability of the most popular bracket (e.g., 300-319 tweets) into an intuitive metaphor?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

What is the general sentiment among Crypto and political KOLs regarding Elon Musk's expected activity level next week?

AI-powered analysis for: What is the general sentiment among Crypto and political KOLs regarding Elon Musk's expected activity level next week?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

If predicting a worst-case scenario (e.g., Elon goes silent due to travel/illness), which low-frequency bracket (<20 or 40-59) offers the best extreme bottom value?

AI-powered analysis for: If predicting a worst-case scenario (e.g., Elon goes silent due to travel/illness), which low-frequency bracket (<20 or 40-59) offers the best extreme bottom value?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Based on the current bid-ask spread and his historical average, what is the optimal limit order price for entering the '280-299' bracket?

AI-powered analysis for: Based on the current bid-ask spread and his historical average, what is the optimal limit order price for entering the '280-299' bracket?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

What is the stop-loss red line for the daily average tweet count in the first three days (e.g., below 30/day) that should trigger an immediate exit?

AI-powered analysis for: What is the stop-loss red line for the daily average tweet count in the first three days (e.g., below 30/day) that should trigger an immediate exit?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

For micro-capital users, which underdog, high-payout tweet brackets are recommended as a '$10 lottery ticket' play among the 20+ options?

AI-powered analysis for: For micro-capital users, which underdog, high-payout tweet brackets are recommended as a '$10 lottery ticket' play among the 20+ options?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

If I have high confidence that Elon's tweet count will land in the 240-279 range, what portfolio allocation percentage does the Kelly criterion suggest?

AI-powered analysis for: If I have high confidence that Elon's tweet count will land in the 240-279 range, what portfolio allocation percentage does the Kelly criterion suggest?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

What other Elon Musk-related prediction markets on Polymarket can be used to construct a correlated hedging portfolio?

AI-powered analysis for: What other Elon Musk-related prediction markets on Polymarket can be used to construct a correlated hedging portfolio?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Please generate a one-page trading plan for this Elon Musk tweet count event, including entry rationale, target bracket, and invalidation conditions.

AI-powered analysis for: Please generate a one-page trading plan for this Elon Musk tweet count event, including entry rationale, target bracket, and invalidation conditions.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Elon Musk # tweets April 10 - April 17, 2026?

Culture|$5.1m Vol|

3 days 10 hrs

Elon Musk # tweets April 10 - April 17, 2026? - AI Mispricing Alert

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 2 hours ago

Top Undervalued

+4.5¢

300-319(Yes)

+2.5¢

380-399(No)

+1.6¢

280-299(No)

Elon Musk # tweets April 10 - April 17, 2026? AI analysis: • +4.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:

As the tracking period passes the halfway mark, Musk's real-time posting data continues to maintain ...

🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)

All Outcomes

Market Price

AI Fair Value

Value Edge

300-319

YesNo

17.5¢

82.5¢

22¢

78¢

+4.5¢

0¢

380-399

YesNo

9.45¢

90.55¢

7¢

93¢

0¢

+2.5¢

Expand to view all 21 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.

Rule Risk

The title simply says 'tweets', but the rules explicitly exclude standard 'replies', which make up a massive portion of Musk's activity, creating a counter-intuitive pitfall. Additionally, resolution relies heavily on a specific custom tracker (xtracker), introducing technical risks of missed counts or downtime, especially for deleted posts.

Exotics

This is a highly typical long-tail novelty market. Outside of prediction market degens, nobody naturally contemplates or calculates the exact number of times a specific celebrity posts on social media during a random week. It is purely for entertainment.

Movers

April 11, 2026 - April 14, 2026, the price of the '240-259' option plummeted from 32.5c to 0.5c, because the high-frequency weekend posting confirmed this bracket will highly likely be massively breached. April 11, 2026 - April 14, 2026, the price of the '320-339' option surged from 3.3c to 24.5c, as the accelerated real-time tracking speed made this range the most probable target based on linear extrapolation. April 11, 2026 - April 14, 2026, the price of the '300-319' option surged from 6.5c to 21.5c, as the posting speed stabilized at a high level, making it one of the hottest options. April 11, 2026 - April 14, 2026, the price of the '260-279' option plummeted from 21.5c to 2.0c, as the vastly increased posting speed pushed projected totals far beyond this bracket. April 11, 2026 - April 14, 2026, the price of the '340-359' option surged from 2.1c to 15.8c, as the substantially increased posting speed shifted market expectations into this range. April 11, 2026 - April 14, 2026, the price of the '360-379' option surged from 1.4c to 10.0c, as the ongoing trend of high-frequency posts pushed up the likelihood of finishing in higher brackets. April 11, 2026 - April 14, 2026, the price of the '280-299' option plummeted from 14.5c to 7.5c, because a further acceleration in posting volumes meant projected totals are likely to breach this bracket. April 7, 2026 - April 11, 2026, the price of the '220-239' option rose from 9.5c to around 19.5c, as initial tracking data indicated a slightly lower posting frequency, causing a leftward shift (which subsequently reversed).