English Premier League – 2nd Place
Sports|$2.0m Vol|
time42 days 16 hrs

English Premier League – 2nd Place - AI Mispricing Alert

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 04.13 13:50
Top Undervalued
+1.5¢
Arsenal(Yes)
+0.5¢
Man City(Yes)
+0.4¢
Brentford(No)

English Premier League – 2nd Place AI analysis: • +1.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
Over the past two days, Arsenal's probability of finishing 2nd continued to climb to ~41%, while Man...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)

Real-time High Yield Opportunities

View More
Highest temperature in NYC on April 14?
Weather|$69.2k Vol|
time4 hrs 24 mins

Highest temperature in NYC on April 14?

Top Undervalued
+4.5¢
82-83°F(No)
+2.2¢
88-89°F(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest weather forecasts and market trading trends, the highest temperature at New York...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
Movers
April 13, 2026 - April 14, 2026, the price of the 82-83°F option further climbed from 27c to 38.5c, while the 78-79°F option plummeted from 21c to 8.5c. This was due to approaching resolution and updated weather models confirming the incoming heat wave, eliminating the chances of milder temperatures. April 12, 2026 - April 13, 2026, the price of the 82-83°F option surged from 8c to 27c, as new weather models predicted temperatures might be slightly higher than previously expected. April 12, 2026 - April 13, 2026, the price of the 74-75°F option fell from 14c to 3.9c, as weather forecasts ruled out the possibility of lower temperatures.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Seattle on April 14?
Weather|$41.4k Vol|
time4 hrs 24 mins

Highest temperature in Seattle on April 14?

Top Undervalued
+10¢
46-47°F(No)
+8¢
48-49°F(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest forecasts, NWS predicts a high near 50°F (with rain) for Seattle on April 14...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
Movers
April 12, 2026 - April 13, 2026, the price of '44-45°F' plummeted from 25c to 4c before recovering to 8.9c, as weather models adjusted the expected temperatures upward during the rain event, pricing out extreme cold. April 12, 2026 - April 13, 2026, the price of '46-47°F' dropped from 34c to 19.5c before rebounding to 31c, reflecting market indecision and minor model adjustments regarding the exact magnitude of the frontal cooling.
Divergence
There is a noticeable divergence. Mainstream forecasts (like NWS and KING 5) project a high around 50-51°F, yet the market assigns the highest probability (~68%) to the colder 46-49°F range. This suggests the market might be relying on more aggressive cold-front models (like specific high-res local models) or anticipating that continuous rain will suppress the actual daytime high more than generic forecasts suggest.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Paris on April 14?
Weather|$53.9k Vol|
time4 hrs 24 mins

Highest temperature in Paris on April 14?

Top Undervalued
+8.5¢
17°C(No)
+7.5¢
18°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest weather forecasts, the high temperature for Paris (including Charles de Gaul...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
Movers
April 12, 2026 - April 13, 2026, the price of the 15°C option plummeted from 26.5c to 8.5c, while the 17°C option rose from 27.5c to 38c, as weather models adjusted their peak temperature forecasts from a cooler 15-16°C up to 16-17°C as the date approached. April 12, 2026, the 18°C option spiked to 35c before dropping back to 21c, due to intraday volatility in weather forecasts that eventually settled on the 16-17°C range.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 14?
Weather|$26.3k Vol|
time4 hrs 24 mins

Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 14?

Top Undervalued
+17.5¢
27°C(No)
+13.5¢
28°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The latest weather forecasts indicate that the high temperature in Sao Paulo (Guarulhos Airport) on ...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
Movers
April 12, 2026 - April 13, 2026, the price of the 29°C option plummeted from 25.5c to 4.3c, the 25°C option dropped from 25c to 7.5c, while the 28°C option rose from 20.5c to 30.5c. This is because, as the resolution date approaches, weather forecast models have converged, ruling out more extreme temperatures (25°C and 29°C) and concentrating market confidence in the 26°C-28°C range. In the previous analysis, no options had experienced a price movement of more than 10 cents in the prior 3 days.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in London on April 14?
Weather|$218.2k Vol|
time4 hrs 24 mins

Highest temperature in London on April 14?

Top Undervalued
+24.5¢
17°C(Yes)
+17.5¢
15°C(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest market prices and previous forecasts, the probability of 16°C has risen to the h...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
Movers
April 13, 2026 - April 14, 2026, the price of 16°C surged from 40c to 51c, as weather forecast data further confirmed 16°C as the most likely high temperature approaching resolution. April 13, 2026 - April 14, 2026, the price of 17°C fell back from a high of 43.5c to 30.5c, because as time progressed, the likelihood of reaching 17°C decreased, with forecasts trending towards a slightly cooler 16°C. April 12, 2026 - April 13, 2026, the price of 16°C surged steadily from 17.5c to a peak of 52.5c before settling at 38.5c, as weather forecasting models became much more certain about highs reaching 16°C or above as the date approached. April 12, 2026 - April 13, 2026, the price of 17°C climbed significantly from 17.5c to a high of 43.5c, driven by updated Wunderground forecasts indicating a high of 63°F (approx. 17°C). April 12, 2026 - April 13, 2026, the price of 14°C plummeted from a high of 23c to under 1c, because updated forecasts consistently indicated temperatures would be significantly higher than 14°C.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
Arsenal
YesNo
39.5¢
60.5¢
41¢
59¢
+1.5¢
Man City
YesNo
57.5¢
42.5¢
58¢
42¢
+0.5¢

Expand to view all 10 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Movers
April 12, 2026 - April 13, 2026, Arsenal's price continued to surge from 33c to 40.5c, while Man City's dropped from 64c to 58c. The reason is that as the league enters its final stretch, Man City is further solidifying their lead for the title (decreasing their exact 2nd-place probability), while Arsenal's trend of falling into the runner-up spot becomes more apparent. April 11, 2026 - April 12, 2026, Arsenal's price surged from 13c to 33c, while Man City's plummeted from 76.5c to 64c. The reason is likely a major shift in the title race over the weekend fixtures, where Arsenal might have dropped points, increasing Man City's probability of winning the league (thus lowering their 2nd place odds) and significantly raising Arsenal's risk of finishing as runners-up. April 9, 2026 - April 11, 2026, no significant price movements (>10c) were observed. Man City slightly dipped to 76.5c, and Arsenal ticked up to 13c, keeping the overall landscape steady. April 9, 2026 - April 10, 2026, no significant price movements (>10c) were observed. Man City slightly rebounded to 80.5c, and Arsenal dipped to 10.5c, keeping the overall landscape steady. April 7, 2026 - April 9, 2026, no significant price movements (>10c) were observed. Man City slightly dipped from 80.5c to 77c, and Arsenal ticked up to 12.5c, keeping the overall landscape steady. April 7, 2026 - April 8, 2026, no significant price movements (>10c) were observed. Man City remained stable at 80.5c and Arsenal at 12c, keeping the overall landscape steady. April 6, 2026 - April 7, 2026, no significant price movements (>10c) were observed. Man City slightly dipped to 79.5c while Arsenal ticked up to 11c, indicating no material changes in the title/runner-up race. April 4, 2026 - April 6, 2026, no significant price movements (>10c) were observed. Man City remained steady between 80.5c and 81.5c, and Arsenal maintained 10c, indicating no major upsets or dropped points for the top teams in recent fixtures. April 2, 2026 - April 4, 2026, no significant price movements (>10c) were observed. The market remained stable, with Man City steady between 80.5c and 81.5c, and Arsenal maintaining 10c, indicating no major upsets or dropped points for the top teams in recent fixtures. April 1, 2026 - April 3, 2026, no significant price movements (>10c) were observed. The market remained stable, with Man City fluctuating narrowly between 79.5c and 81.5c, and Arsenal hovering between 9c and 10c, indicating no major upsets or dropped points for the top teams in recent fixtures. March 31, 2026 - April 2, 2026, no significant price movements (>10c) were observed. The market remained stable, with Man City fluctuating narrowly between 78.5c and 80.5c, and Arsenal hovering between 9c and 10c. March 29, 2026 - April 1, 2026, no significant price movements (>10c) were observed. The market remained relatively stable, with Man City fluctuating narrowly between 78.5c and 82.5c, and Arsenal hovering around 9c. March 28, 2026 - March 31, 2026, no significant price movements (>10c) were observed. The market remained relatively stable, with Man City dipping slightly from 82.5c to 78.5c and Arsenal hovering around 9c. March 25, 2026 - March 28, 2026, no significant price movements (>10c) were observed, with Man City stable around 82.5c and Arsenal around 9.5c. March 18, 2026 - March 24, 2026, the market entered a stabilization phase, with Man City fluctuating narrowly between 78c and 83.5c, and Arsenal slowly recovering from 7c to 10.5c. This indicates the market was digesting the point gap after mid-March volatility and awaiting the results of key fixtures. March 14, 2026 - March 17, 2026, Man City surged from 66.5c to 80c, while Arsenal crashed from 18.5c to 7.5c. This was driven by Arsenal winning key fixtures while City dropped points, causing the market to rapidly price in an Arsenal title victory, effectively locking Man City in as the '2nd Place' finisher.

Support

Frequently Asked Questions

1. What is PolyPredict AI and how can I access it?
2. How does the AI determine the "Fair Value"?
3. What makes the "Arbitrage Plans" unique?
4. What is the difference between Event and Live Markets?
5. What are the key differences between the Free and Pro versions?
6. Can I use PolyPredict AI on Telegram?

The All-in-One AI Copilot for Prediction Markets

PolyPredict AI Robot