English Premier League Winner
Sports|$316.2m Vol|
time42 days 18 hrs

English Premier League Winner - AI Mispricing Alert

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 04.13 12:49
Top Undervalued
+0.5¢
Arsenal(Yes)
+0.5¢
Man City(No)
+0.1¢
Man United(No)

English Premier League Winner AI analysis: • +0.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest odds, Arsenal's implied probability of winning the title has further dropped...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)

Real-time High Yield Opportunities

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Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 15?
Weather|$12.7k Vol|
time1 days 6 hrs

Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 15?

Top Undervalued
+8¢
25°C(No)
+5.5¢
23°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest meteorological sources, the highest temperature for Chengdu Shuangliu Intern...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
Exotics
While weather forecasting is an everyday activity, betting on the exact temperature range of a specific city's weather station on a given day is a relatively niche and novelty topic for the general public.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Denver on April 15?
Weather|$11.8k Vol|
time1 days 6 hrs

Highest temperature in Denver on April 15?

Top Undervalued
+24.5¢
70-71°F(Yes)
+21¢
66-67°F(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest 7-day weather forecast from the National Weather Service (NWS) specifically ...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
Divergence
Currently, the '64-65°F' option is leading the market at 22.5c, while '70-71°F' is only priced at 18c. This diverges from the latest explicit NWS forecast, which predicts a high near 70°F. The divergence is likely due to the market lagging behind the latest weather updates or investors factoring in the volatility of high-altitude weather. As time progresses and forecast certainty increases, capital will likely migrate towards the 70-71°F range.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 15?
Weather|$10.5k Vol|
time1 days 6 hrs

Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 15?

Top Undervalued
+9.2¢
21°C or below(No)
+6.5¢
24°C(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest weather forecasts, the high temperature in Wuhan (Tianhe International Airpo...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
Exotics
Moderately exotic. While betting on the daily high temperature of a specific city is a niche market, weather prediction is a common daily derivative format in prediction markets and is not entirely bizarre.
Divergence
Current meteorological models (such as AccuWeather) forecast a high of around 22°C for April 15. However, the market assigns the highest probability to 23°C (34c) and 24°C (23c). This suggests that traders anticipate the actual recorded temperature will slightly exceed the mainstream forecasted values, creating a moderate divergence.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 15?
Weather|$45.9k Vol|
time1 days 6 hrs

Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 15?

Top Undervalued
+26¢
15°C or higher(No)
+16.4¢
14°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Recent weather forecasts indicate that the highest temperature in Warsaw on April 15, 2026, is expec...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
Exotics
This is a prediction about the high temperature in a specific city on a specific date. While weather forecasting is a common daily activity, setting up a specific short-term prediction market for an exact degree in Warsaw is a relatively niche and specific market.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 15?
Weather|$13.9k Vol|
time1 days 6 hrs

Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 15?

Top Undervalued
+25¢
62-63°F(No)
+7.5¢
58-59°F(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest weather forecast data, the maximum temperature at San Francisco Internationa...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
Movers
On April 13, 2026, the price of '56-57°F' dropped from 16.5c to 4.5c. This occurred because, as the date approaches, weather forecast models are trending towards higher temperatures, largely ruling out the lower temperature ranges. On April 13, 2026, the prices for '50-51°F', '52-53°F', and '54-55°F' also saw significant declines, similarly due to short-term forecasts confirming that the temperature will likely be above 55°F.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
Arsenal
YesNo
59.5¢
40.5¢
60¢
40¢
+0.5¢
Man City
YesNo
40.5¢
59.5¢
40¢
60¢
+0.5¢

Expand to view all 5 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Hedging
MANU
This event only has a direct, specific correlation with the stock of the listed club Manchester United (MANU). A league title win would significantly boost its commercial revenue outlook and stock price. Otherwise, the sporting outcome has no correlation with broad indices or macroeconomic assets.
Movers
Apr 12, 2026 - Apr 13, 2026, Arsenal's price further dropped from 68c to 59.5c, while Man City surged from 30.5c to 40.5c. This was driven by the latest match results that further narrowed Arsenal's lead, making the title race extremely tight. Apr 11, 2026 - Apr 12, 2026, Arsenal's price plummeted from 85.5c to 68c, while Man City surged from 14.5c to 30.5c. This was caused by weekend fixture results where Arsenal's lead was significantly cut, bringing City right back into the title race. Apr 10, 2026 - Apr 11, 2026, the market remained extremely stable. Arsenal's price held at 85.5c, and Man City at 14.5c. The title race landscape is solidifying in the final stretch. Apr 7, 2026 - Apr 10, 2026, the market remained stable. Arsenal's price slightly dropped from 86.5c to 85.5c, while Man City edged up from 13.5c to 14.5c. The title race landscape remains steady during the run-in. Apr 2, 2026 - Apr 6, 2026, the market experienced a minor adjustment. Arsenal's price slightly dropped from 88.5c to 86.5c, while Man City edged up from 11.5c to 13.5c. This reflects slight turbulence in recent fixtures but hasn't changed the overall title race landscape. Mar 23, 2026 - Apr 2, 2026, the market continued its fine-tuning phase. Arsenal's price fluctuated narrowly between 87.5c and 88.5c, while Man City remained stable at 11.5c. This reflects minor fluctuations due to standard fixture progression without any fundamental shifts. Mar 14, 2026 - Mar 15, 2026, Arsenal's price experienced significant volatility, surging from 81.5c to 89.5c, while Man City plummeted by nearly 9c. This established Arsenal's absolute dominance in the late season, likely due to City dropping points in a crucial match.

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