Ethereum price on April 22?
Crypto|$4,740 Vol|
time4 days 16 hrs

Ethereum price on April 22? - AI Mispricing Alert

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated:
Top Undervalued
+8.7¢
2,300-2,400(No)
+7.9¢
2,500-2,600(Yes)
+7.8¢
2,200-2,300(No)

Ethereum price on April 22? AI analysis: • +8.7¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

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Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 18?
Weather|$27.2k Vol|
time12 hrs 50 mins

Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 18?

Top Undervalued
+6.5¢
30°C(No)
+4.5¢
29°C(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest weather forecasts, the highest temperature for Chengdu Shuangliu International A...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
Exotics
Predicting the exact highest temperature in a specific city on a random date is a relatively niche and trivial event. While weather is an ordinary phenomenon, absent extreme climate contexts, the general public rarely trades or obsesses over the exact temperature value of a single specific day.
Movers
April 16, 2026 - April 17, 2026, prices for lower temperature options like 27°C, 26°C, and 25°C plummeted (dropping by over 20 cents), while prices for 29°C and 30°C surged. This was driven by updated weather forecasts closer to the resolution date indicating a significant warming trend in Chengdu, pushing expected highs into the 28-30°C range.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Manila on April 18?
Weather|$10.4k Vol|
time12 hrs 50 mins

Highest temperature in Manila on April 18?

Top Undervalued
+6.5¢
35°C(No)
+3¢
33°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest weather forecast data, the highest temperature in Manila on April 18 is most lik...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
Exotics
Aside from meteorologists or locals monitoring the weather, the vast majority of people would not naturally ponder and predict the exact highest temperature in Manila on a specific date, making it a fairly niche and exotic topic.
Movers
From April 16 to April 17, 2026, the price of '31°C' plummeted from about 21.5c to 0.5c, as weather forecasts became more certain, ruling out lower temperature possibilities. From April 16 to April 17, 2026, the price of '32°C' dropped from about 21c to 1.8c for similar reasons. From April 16 to April 17, 2026, the price of '34°C' surged from 20c to 32c as forecasts converged on this range. From April 16 to April 17, 2026, the price of '35°C' spiked from 18c to 34.5c, reflecting it as the most likely high temperature.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 18?
Weather|$14.9k Vol|
time12 hrs 50 mins

Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 18?

Top Undervalued
+17.5¢
27°C(Yes)
+16.5¢
29°C(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest meteorological forecasts (including Wunderground) for April 18, 2026, the da...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
Exotics
Predicting the exact highest temperature on a specific day in a single city is a niche prediction market. While weather forecasts are common, betting on the precise integer degree recorded at a specific weather station is not a typical daily consideration for the general public.
Movers
April 16, 2026 - April 17, 2026: As the target date approached and weather forecasts stabilized, lower temperature options faced massive sell-offs. The price of 25°C plummeted from 19.5c to under 1c, and 26°C dropped from 20c to around 6c. Concurrently, the 28°C option surged from 29c to a peak of 44.5c before settling near 36.5c, as primary weather models confirmed the daytime high would land between 27°C and 28°C.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 18?
Weather|$44.5k Vol|
time12 hrs 50 mins

Highest temperature in Beijing on April 18?

Top Undervalued
+28¢
25°C or below(No)
+22.5¢
28°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The latest Wunderground weather forecast indicates that the high temperature for Beijing Capital Int...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
Movers
Between April 16 and April 17, 2026, multiple options experienced significant volatility: '25°C or below' briefly surged from 16c to 32c before retreating; '26°C', '27°C', and '28°C' also saw deep drops or spikes of over 10c; meanwhile, the price of '29°C' plummeted from 26c down to 6.5c. This is primarily attributed to frequent fine-tuning in forecast models as the resolution date approaches, causing rapid shifts of capital among adjacent temperature brackets.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
2,300-2,400
YesNo
26¢
78¢
13.3¢
86.7¢
+8.7¢
2,500-2,600
YesNo
17.5¢
82.5¢
25.4¢
74.6¢
+7.9¢

Expand to view all 11 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
AI Insights & Reasoning:
Positive Factor 1: Last Week High Breakout Status, 1.0000, Impact-Intense, Factor description Structural breakout: whether the price breaks above last week highest price (0/1) Positive Factor 2: Quarterly MA60 Deviation Rate, 0.1210, Impact-Intense, Factor description Medium-term trend: deviation of price relative to the 60-day decision moving average Positive Factor 3: Monthly MA20 Deviation Rate, 0.0730, Impact-Intense, Factor description Medium-term strength indicator: deviation of price relative to the 20-day life line Positive Factor 4: Weekly Price Change, 0.0710, Impact-Strong, Factor description Weekly candlestick pattern: percentage change from weekly open to current price Positive Factor 5: Bollinger Midline Deviation Rate, 0.0730, Impact-Strong, Factor description Swing support: deviation of price relative to the Bollinger midline (MA20) Negative Factor 1: Attack Line MA5 Deviation Rate, -0.0010, Impact-Medium, Factor description Short-term breakout potential: deviation of price relative to the 5-day moving average

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