Can you explain the resolution rules for this Austin temperature market in simple terms, specifically how the Wunderground KAUS station data is finalized and why post-finalization revisions aren't counted?

AI-powered analysis for: Can you explain the resolution rules for this Austin temperature market in simple terms, specifically how the Wunderground KAUS station data is finalized and why post-finalization revisions aren't counted?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Based on the latest weather forecast models and historical mid-April temperature data for Austin, which bracket option (e.g., 80-81°F or higher/lower) currently holds the highest statistical probability?

AI-powered analysis for: Based on the latest weather forecast models and historical mid-April temperature data for Austin, which bracket option (e.g., 80-81°F or higher/lower) currently holds the highest statistical probability?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Given the extremely low volume ($36.24) of this Austin weather market, what are the profit opportunities and capital lock-up costs of placing 'stink bids' here for micro-capital users?

AI-powered analysis for: Given the extremely low volume ($36.24) of this Austin weather market, what are the profit opportunities and capital lock-up costs of placing 'stink bids' here for micro-capital users?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Highest temperature in Austin on April 14?

Weather|$38.9k Vol|

4 hrs 5 mins

Highest temperature in Austin on April 14? - AI Found +34.5¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 04.13 09:57

Top Undervalued

+34.5¢

84°F or higher(No)

+23.5¢

82-83°F(Yes)

+5.9¢

80-81°F(Yes)

Highest temperature in Austin on April 14? AI analysis: • +34.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:

Based on the latest weather forecasts, the high temperature in Austin on April 14 is expected to be ...

🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)

All Outcomes

Market Price

AI Fair Value

Value Edge

84°F or higher

YesNo

73.5¢

26.5¢

39¢

61¢

0¢

+34.5¢

82-83°F

YesNo

21.5¢

78.5¢

45¢

55¢

+23.5¢

0¢

Expand to view all 11 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.

Movers

From April 12, 2026 to April 13, 2026, the price of the '84°F or higher' option plummeted from 66.5c to 35.5c as approaching weather forecasts adjusted the expected high temperatures downward, focusing more on the 82-83°F range. From April 12, 2026 to April 13, 2026, the price of the '82-83°F' option surged from 17c to 38.5c, due to updated forecast models significantly increasing the probability of the high temperature falling within this range. From April 12, 2026 to April 13, 2026, the price of the '80-81°F' option climbed from 6.5c to 11.6c, reflecting an increased tail-risk of temperatures being slightly lower than expected.