AI Signal Dashboard
Last updated: 6 hours ago
Top Undervalued
+81¢
22°C(No)
+51¢
23°C(Yes)
+16¢
24°C(Yes)
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 17? AI analysis: • +81¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest weather forecasts, the high temperature at Beijing Capital International Air...
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Outcomes
Market
Price
AI Fair
Value
Value
Edge
22°C
YesNo
99.95¢
0.05¢
19¢
81¢
0¢
+81¢
23°C
YesNo
0.05¢
99.95¢
51¢
49¢
+51¢
0¢
Expand to view all 10 options
⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Movers
April 16, 2026 - April 17, 2026: The price of the 23°C option surged from 30c to 50.5c as the resolution day arrived and real-time weather data further solidified the core temperature range, squeezing out edge possibilities.
April 16, 2026 - April 16, 2026: Several key temperature options experienced drastic swings (>10c). The Yes price for 25°C plummeted from 33.5c in the morning to 6.5c by evening. Meanwhile, 22°C surged from 8.5c to 33c before pulling back, and 23°C climbed from 12c to 30c. This volatility was driven by intraday adjustments in weather models as the resolution day (the 17th) approached, heavily discounting temperatures of 25°C and above and concentrating funds into the 22°C-24°C core range.
April 15, 2026 (06:18-07:23): The Yes price for 24°C surged from 21.5c to 32c, while the Yes price for 30°C plummeted from 13c to 0.8c. This was driven by the latest weather forecasts nearing the resolution date, which confidently ruled out extreme high temperatures, causing funds to concentrate on the most likely outcome.