Highest temperature in Jeddah on April 14?
Weather|$6,282 Vol|
time4 hrs 5 mins

Highest temperature in Jeddah on April 14? - AI Mispricing Alert

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 04.13 11:06
Top Undervalued
+8¢
35°C or higher(No)
+4.5¢
33°C(Yes)
+3.5¢
34°C(Yes)

Highest temperature in Jeddah on April 14? AI analysis: • +8¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
The current date is April 13, 2026, with only one day left until the target date of April 14. Accord...
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Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 15?
Weather|$13.8k Vol|
time1 days 4 hrs

Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 15?

Top Undervalued
+8¢
25°C(No)
+6¢
22°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest meteorological sources, the highest temperature for Chengdu Shuangliu Intern...
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Exotics
While weather forecasting is an everyday activity, betting on the exact temperature range of a specific city's weather station on a given day is a relatively niche and novelty topic for the general public.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 15?
Weather|$48.5k Vol|
time1 days 4 hrs

Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 15?

Top Undervalued
+28¢
15°C or higher(No)
+15.9¢
14°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Recent weather forecasts indicate that the highest temperature in Warsaw on April 15, 2026, is expec...
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Exotics
This is a prediction about the high temperature in a specific city on a specific date. While weather forecasting is a common daily activity, setting up a specific short-term prediction market for an exact degree in Warsaw is a relatively niche and specific market.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 15?
Weather|$11.7k Vol|
time1 days 4 hrs

Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 15?

Top Undervalued
+16.9¢
21°C or below(No)
+5.5¢
24°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest weather forecasts, the high temperature in Wuhan (Tianhe International Airpo...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
Exotics
Moderately exotic. While betting on the daily high temperature of a specific city is a niche market, weather prediction is a common daily derivative format in prediction markets and is not entirely bizarre.
Divergence
Current meteorological models (such as AccuWeather) forecast a high of around 22°C for April 15. However, the market assigns the highest probability to 23°C (34c) and 24°C (23c). This suggests that traders anticipate the actual recorded temperature will slightly exceed the mainstream forecasted values, creating a moderate divergence.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
35°C or higher
YesNo
17¢
83¢
91¢
+8¢
33°C
YesNo
37.5¢
62.5¢
42¢
58¢
+4.5¢

Expand to view all 9 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Exotics
This is a highly specific single-day weather prediction market for Jeddah, Saudi Arabia. While following the weather is normal, turning the exact maximum temperature range for a specific day into a trading instrument makes it a relatively niche and novelty topic.
Movers
April 12, 2026 - April 13, 2026: The price of the 33°C option surged from 26.5c to 42c, as weather forecast data became more definitive with the approaching target date, concentrating market expectations on 33°C. April 12, 2026 - April 13, 2026: The price of the 30°C option initially rose from 10.5c to 20.5c before plunging to 1.4c, due to short-term forecast fluctuations followed by the market ruling it out as too low. April 12, 2026 - April 13, 2026: The price of the 35°C or higher option plummeted from 25c to 8.5c, as forecasts indicated a significantly reduced likelihood of reaching such extreme high temperatures.

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