Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 19?
Weather|$22.5k Vol|
time8 hrs 49 mins

Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 19? - AI Mispricing Alert

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Last updated: 04.18 14:01
Top Undervalued
+9¢
27°C(Yes)
+6¢
26°C(Yes)
+3.8¢
24°C(Yes)

Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 19? AI analysis: • +9¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest market price trends, as the settlement approaches (less than 1 day remaining), t...
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Highest temperature in Wellington on April 20?
Weather|$24.0k Vol|
time1 days 8 hrs

Highest temperature in Wellington on April 20?

Top Undervalued
+24.5¢
15°C(No)
+11.5¢
17°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
This market predicts the highest temperature recorded at Wellington Intl Airport on April 20, 2026. ...
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Exotics
Forecasting the exact highest temperature of a specific city on a given day belongs to a niche quantitative weather prediction market. While weather derivatives exist in the professional financial sector, it remains a relatively novel and uncommon betting topic for the general public.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Singapore on April 20?
Weather|$18.5k Vol|
time1 days 8 hrs

Highest temperature in Singapore on April 20?

Top Undervalued
+12¢
32°C or higher(Yes)
+11¢
31°C(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest weather forecasts, the high temperature at Singapore Changi Airport on April...
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AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 20?
Weather|$19.9k Vol|
time1 days 8 hrs

Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 20?

Top Undervalued
+12.5¢
23°C(No)
+10¢
20°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest weather forecasts, the highest temperature in Tokyo (specifically around Haneda ...
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AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
27°C
YesNo
15¢
85¢
24¢
76¢
+9¢
26°C
YesNo
32¢
68¢
38¢
62¢
+6¢

Expand to view all 11 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Movers
Between April 17, 2026 and April 18, 2026, the price of the '26°C' option surged from 11.5c to 38c, as the target date approached and the specific impact range of the cold front became clearer, leading to a market consensus converging on 26°C. Between April 17, 2026 and April 18, 2026, the price of the '28°C or higher' option plummeted from 28c to 11.5c, because weather forecasts confirmed Sunday would bring cooler temperatures and rain, breaking previous expectations of continued high heat. Between April 17, 2026 and April 18, 2026, the price of the '24°C' option fell from 23c to 7.5c, as the market ruled out excessive cooling, believing the temperature floor would be supported. Between April 17, 2026 and April 18, 2026, the price of the '23°C' option crashed from 11.5c to 1.2c, also because the likelihood of extreme cooling was largely eliminated by highly accurate near-term weather forecasts.

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