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Last updated: 1 hours ago
Top Undervalued
+4¢
27°C(No)
+3.5¢
25°C(Yes)
+3¢
26°C(No)
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 20? AI analysis: • +4¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest multi-source weather forecasts, the expected highest temperature for Sao Paulo (...
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Outcomes
Market
Price
AI Fair
Value
Value
Edge
27°C
YesNo
39¢
61¢
35¢
65¢
0¢
+4¢
25°C
YesNo
11.5¢
88.5¢
15¢
85¢
+3.5¢
0¢
Expand to view all 11 options
⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Exotics
Predicting the exact high temperature of a specific city on a particular day is a niche but standard 'weather' topic in prediction markets. Ordinary people do not typically forecast temperatures to the exact degree in daily life.
Movers
April 18, 2026 - April 19, 2026, the price of the 28°C option plummeted from 34.5c to 11.5c, and the 29°C option dropped from 22.5c to around 2.5c. Meanwhile, the 26°C option climbed from 20c to 37c. The reason is that as the resolution date approaches, weather forecast models have converged, ruling out extreme high temperatures and narrowing the expected temperature range to 26°C-27°C.