Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 28?
Weather|$215.1k Vol|
time18 hrs 48 mins

Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 28? - AI Found +75¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 4 hours ago
Top Undervalued
+75¢
22°C(No)
+35.9¢
20°C(Yes)
+28¢
21°C(Yes)

Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 28? AI analysis: • +75¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
With less than one day left until settlement, market prices are heavily concentrated on 20°C and 21°...
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Real-time High Yield Opportunities

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NY-18 House Election Winner
Elections|$31.3k Vol|
time190 days 6 hrs

NY-18 House Election Winner

Top Undervalued
+0.2¢
Democratic Party(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The NY-18 district continues to show a clear Democratic advantage for the 2026 midterms. Incumbent D...
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AI Analysis
Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Politics|$12.3k Vol|
time49 days 6 hrs

Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Top Undervalued
+3¢
N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas(Yes)
+1.5¢
Jim Priest(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The overall market landscape remains stable recently. N’Kiyla Thomas maintains her lead but fluctuat...
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Rule Risk
There is a significant risk of missing candidates. According to the Oklahoma Democratic Party's official list, Jim Priest is also a declared candidate for Senate alongside Thomas and Green. If Priest wins and 'Other' is not available as a 'winner' option (the rules only specify 'Other' if *no* primary occurs), resolution will be ambiguous. Additionally, extremely low trading volume implies high manipulation risk.
AI Analysis
Clavicular unbanned from Youtube by April 30?
YouTube|$10.9k Vol|
time2 days 6 hrs

Clavicular unbanned from Youtube by April 30?

Top Undervalued
+0.5¢
(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Clavicular's channels were terminated in late April for severe community guideline violations and ba...
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Exotics
High novelty. Predicting whether a specific, relatively niche YouTube creator (associated with looksmaxxing content) will be unbanned by a certain date is highly specific, non-traditional, and caters to a narrow audience.
Movers
April 24, 2026 - April 25, 2026: The price of Option_'Yes' plummeted from 16.5c to 2.35c as the market realized that the probability of a reinstatement by April 30, following severe violations and a permanent-style ban, is near zero, leading traders to dump their Yes positions.
AI Analysis
2026 Men’s Singles Roland Garros: Winner
Sports|$28.8k Vol|
time41 days 6 hrs

2026 Men’s Singles Roland Garros: Winner

Top Undervalued
+46¢
Jannik Sinner(No)
+36.9¢
Carlos Alcaraz(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner are the most dominant new-generation players on clay, with Alcaraz ...
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Divergence
There is extreme structural anomaly in the market, with almost all players' YES prices above 40%, making the total implied probability far exceed 100%. This completely diverges from mainstream sports betting odds and expert predictions (where only Alcaraz has a 30-40% chance, while most tier-2 players are below 2%). This divergence is primarily due to the lack of liquidity and market maker participation in the early stages of this prediction market.
AI Analysis
Hackney Mayoral Election Winner
Politics|$14.4k Vol|
time9 days 12 hrs

Hackney Mayoral Election Winner

Top Undervalued
+26¢
Zoë Garbett(No)
+20.5¢
Caroline Woodley(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest polling from mid-April 2026, Green candidate Zoë Garbett leads in Hackney wi...
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Divergence
The market is fundamentally mispriced, assigning relatively flat probabilities (25% to 31%) across all five candidates. In reality, recent mainstream polling from April 2026 shows Hackney is a two-horse race between the Greens (~40%) and Labour (~33%) [17]. Fringe candidates have mathematically virtually no chance under First-Past-The-Post, yet the market significantly overprices them, breaking the logical sum of 100% probabilities.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
22°C
YesNo
87¢
13¢
12¢
88¢
+75¢
20°C
YesNo
0.05¢
99.95¢
36¢
64¢
+35.9¢

Expand to view all 11 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Movers
April 26, 2026 - April 27, 2026, the price for 18°C plummeted from 27c to 3.5c, and 19°C dropped from 27.5c to 12.5c. The reason is that as the date approaches, weather models have become more certain that the high temperature will be above 19°C, concentrating in the 20°C-21°C range. April 26, 2026 - April 26, 2026, the prices for 16°C, 17°C, 22°C, and 24°C or higher plummeted by more than 10c (e.g., 24°C or higher dropped from 18.5c to 3.5c, 17°C from 17.5c to 3c). The reason is that as April 28 approaches, weather forecast models have become much more certain that the high temperature will fall within the 19°C-21°C range, causing market participants to quickly sell off extreme temperature options.

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