AI Signal Dashboard
Last updated: 04.09 08:56
Top Undervalued
+0.9¢
30°C or higher(Yes)
+0.9¢
29°C(No)
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 9? AI analysis: Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.
Undervalued Options Insights:
As the current time is nearing 5:00 PM Beijing Time on April 9, the maximum temperature for the day ...
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Outcomes
Market
Price
AI Fair
Value
Value
Edge
30°C or higher
YesNo
0.05¢
99.95¢
1¢
99¢
+0.9¢
0¢
29°C
YesNo
99.95¢
0.05¢
99¢
1¢
0¢
+0.9¢
⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Movers
April 8, 2026 - April 9, 2026, the 'yes' price for 29°C surged from 36c to 99.45c, as it is already late afternoon local time in Shanghai and the daily high is practically locked at this temperature.
April 8, 2026 - April 9, 2026, the 'yes' price for 28°C plummeted from 60.5c to 0.05c, as the actual temperature exceeded this range during the day, effectively ruling it out.
April 8, 2026 - April 9, 2026, the 'yes' price for 30°C or higher dropped from 24.25c to 0.8c, because the temperature peaked at 29°C and failed to reach extreme highs.
April 8, 2026, the 'yes' price for 29°C surged from 20.5c to 37.5c, as early daily weather forecasts further clarified a very high probability of the maximum temperature falling in this range.
April 7, 2026 - April 8, 2026, the 'yes' price for 27°C plummeted from 28.5c to 7.5c, as nearing the resolution date, forecasts indicated the actual temperature would surpass this range towards even higher temperatures.
April 5, 2026 - April 8, 2026, the 'yes' price for 30°C or higher surged continuously from 1.75c to a peak of 39.05c (then pulling back to 28.9c), due to continuous upward revisions in weather forecasts, significantly increasing the likelihood of extreme high temperatures.
April 5, 2026 - April 8, 2026, the 'yes' price for 28°C rose sharply from 9.5c to 29.5c (later settling around 26c), reflecting forecasts temporarily pointing to this as the most probable high before expectations shifted even hotter.
April 5, 2026 - April 8, 2026, the 'yes' price for 26°C plummeted from 23c to 3.25c, as the market rapidly priced out lower temperatures following confirmed heat warnings.