[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Visit the Polymarket page to analyze the latest odds and bid/ask depth for the 'Idaho Governor Democratic Primary' (Volume: $75k). Is there a significant spread due to low liquidity? Evaluate if the current pricing for Stephen Heidt vs. Terri Pickens fairly reflects the fundamentals of this low-attention election.

AI-powered analysis for: [Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Visit the Polymarket page to analyze the latest odds and bid/ask depth for the 'Idaho Governor Democratic Primary' (Volume: $75k). Is there a significant spread due to low liquidity? Evaluate if the current pricing for Stephen Heidt vs. Terri Pickens fairly reflects the fundamentals of this low-attention election.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

[Core News Sourcing] Local Information Mining: Since this is a primary in a non-swing state, national coverage is minimal. Specifically search local Idaho media (e.g., Idaho Statesman, Idaho Capital Sun, KTVB) for recent 2026 primary reports. Check for campaign rallies, debate schedules, or key endorsements for Stephen Heidt or Terri Pickens to identify information edges not yet priced in.

AI-powered analysis for: [Core News Sourcing] Local Information Mining: Since this is a primary in a non-swing state, national coverage is minimal. Specifically search local Idaho media (e.g., Idaho Statesman, Idaho Capital Sun, KTVB) for recent 2026 primary reports. Check for campaign rallies, debate schedules, or key endorsements for Stephen Heidt or Terri Pickens to identify information edges not yet priced in.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

[Opportunity Cost of Capital] Lock-up vs. Yield Calculation: The event resolves on May 19, 2026 (approx. 2.5 months away). Assuming you bet on the current favorite, calculate the annualized yield (APY) of this trade. Compare this against the risk-free yield of holding USDC in DeFi protocols (e.g., Aave/Compound) over the same period to determine if locking up capital is efficient.

AI-powered analysis for: [Opportunity Cost of Capital] Lock-up vs. Yield Calculation: The event resolves on May 19, 2026 (approx. 2.5 months away). Assuming you bet on the current favorite, calculate the annualized yield (APY) of this trade. Compare this against the risk-free yield of holding USDC in DeFi protocols (e.g., Aave/Compound) over the same period to determine if locking up capital is efficient.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Idaho Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Politics|$78.8k Vol|

34 days 12 hrs

Idaho Governor Democratic Primary Winner - AI Found +11¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 2 hours ago

Top Undervalued

+11¢

Terri Pickens(Yes)

+4¢

Maxine Durand(No)

+0.7¢

Jill Kirkham(No)

Idaho Governor Democratic Primary Winner AI analysis: • +11¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:

Terri Pickens remains the undisputed frontrunner for the Democratic gubernatorial nomination. Howeve...

🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)

All Outcomes

Market Price

AI Fair Value

Value Edge

Terri Pickens

YesNo

49¢

51¢

60¢

40¢

+11¢

0¢

Maxine Durand

YesNo

24¢

76¢

20¢

80¢

0¢

+4¢

Expand to view all 5 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.

Exotics

This is a niche political market. Idaho is a deeply Republican state, making its Democratic primary largely inconsequential on the national stage and often low-stakes even locally. Compared to presidential elections or swing-state governorships, this event lacks broad appeal and liquidity, catering only to hardcore political junkies.

Movers

April 10, 2026 - April 11, 2026, Jill Kirkham's price plummeted from 19.75c to 5.3c due to poor market liquidity and a lack of fundamental support, prompting a rapid exit of speculative capital. March 15, 2026 - March 18, 2026, the market entered a consolidation phase, with Terri Pickens hovering around 76c and other options showing minimal volatility, indicating the market has absorbed the initial shock of the filing deadline. March 1, 2026 - March 2, 2026, Terri Pickens' price plummeted from 78.5c to 43.5c due to panic realization of the rule trap where 'a single candidate might cause the primary to be canceled' (triggering an 'Other' resolution). February 27, 2026 - February 28, 2026, Stephen Heidt's price crashed from 16.5c to 3.4c, confirming his failure to file by the deadline and effective withdrawal from the race.