NBA Rookie of the Year
Sports|$4.1m Vol|
time34 days 0 hrs

NBA Rookie of the Year - AI Mispricing Alert

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 5 hours ago
Top Undervalued
+9.4¢
Cooper Flagg(Yes)
+8.8¢
Kon Knueppel(No)

NBA Rookie of the Year AI analysis: • +9.4¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
With the regular season over, early media ballot tracking shows the Rookie of the Year race remains ...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)

Real-time High Yield Opportunities

View More
Highest temperature in NYC on April 14?
Weather|$69.2k Vol|
time4 hrs 22 mins

Highest temperature in NYC on April 14?

Top Undervalued
+4.5¢
82-83°F(No)
+2.2¢
88-89°F(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest weather forecasts and market trading trends, the highest temperature at New York...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
Movers
April 13, 2026 - April 14, 2026, the price of the 82-83°F option further climbed from 27c to 38.5c, while the 78-79°F option plummeted from 21c to 8.5c. This was due to approaching resolution and updated weather models confirming the incoming heat wave, eliminating the chances of milder temperatures. April 12, 2026 - April 13, 2026, the price of the 82-83°F option surged from 8c to 27c, as new weather models predicted temperatures might be slightly higher than previously expected. April 12, 2026 - April 13, 2026, the price of the 74-75°F option fell from 14c to 3.9c, as weather forecasts ruled out the possibility of lower temperatures.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Seattle on April 14?
Weather|$41.4k Vol|
time4 hrs 22 mins

Highest temperature in Seattle on April 14?

Top Undervalued
+10¢
46-47°F(No)
+8¢
48-49°F(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest forecasts, NWS predicts a high near 50°F (with rain) for Seattle on April 14...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
Movers
April 12, 2026 - April 13, 2026, the price of '44-45°F' plummeted from 25c to 4c before recovering to 8.9c, as weather models adjusted the expected temperatures upward during the rain event, pricing out extreme cold. April 12, 2026 - April 13, 2026, the price of '46-47°F' dropped from 34c to 19.5c before rebounding to 31c, reflecting market indecision and minor model adjustments regarding the exact magnitude of the frontal cooling.
Divergence
There is a noticeable divergence. Mainstream forecasts (like NWS and KING 5) project a high around 50-51°F, yet the market assigns the highest probability (~68%) to the colder 46-49°F range. This suggests the market might be relying on more aggressive cold-front models (like specific high-res local models) or anticipating that continuous rain will suppress the actual daytime high more than generic forecasts suggest.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Paris on April 14?
Weather|$53.9k Vol|
time4 hrs 22 mins

Highest temperature in Paris on April 14?

Top Undervalued
+8.5¢
17°C(No)
+7.5¢
18°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest weather forecasts, the high temperature for Paris (including Charles de Gaul...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
Movers
April 12, 2026 - April 13, 2026, the price of the 15°C option plummeted from 26.5c to 8.5c, while the 17°C option rose from 27.5c to 38c, as weather models adjusted their peak temperature forecasts from a cooler 15-16°C up to 16-17°C as the date approached. April 12, 2026, the 18°C option spiked to 35c before dropping back to 21c, due to intraday volatility in weather forecasts that eventually settled on the 16-17°C range.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 14?
Weather|$26.3k Vol|
time4 hrs 22 mins

Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 14?

Top Undervalued
+17.5¢
27°C(No)
+13.5¢
28°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The latest weather forecasts indicate that the high temperature in Sao Paulo (Guarulhos Airport) on ...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
Movers
April 12, 2026 - April 13, 2026, the price of the 29°C option plummeted from 25.5c to 4.3c, the 25°C option dropped from 25c to 7.5c, while the 28°C option rose from 20.5c to 30.5c. This is because, as the resolution date approaches, weather forecast models have converged, ruling out more extreme temperatures (25°C and 29°C) and concentrating market confidence in the 26°C-28°C range. In the previous analysis, no options had experienced a price movement of more than 10 cents in the prior 3 days.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in London on April 14?
Weather|$218.2k Vol|
time4 hrs 22 mins

Highest temperature in London on April 14?

Top Undervalued
+24.5¢
17°C(Yes)
+17.5¢
15°C(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest market prices and previous forecasts, the probability of 16°C has risen to the h...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
Movers
April 13, 2026 - April 14, 2026, the price of 16°C surged from 40c to 51c, as weather forecast data further confirmed 16°C as the most likely high temperature approaching resolution. April 13, 2026 - April 14, 2026, the price of 17°C fell back from a high of 43.5c to 30.5c, because as time progressed, the likelihood of reaching 17°C decreased, with forecasts trending towards a slightly cooler 16°C. April 12, 2026 - April 13, 2026, the price of 16°C surged steadily from 17.5c to a peak of 52.5c before settling at 38.5c, as weather forecasting models became much more certain about highs reaching 16°C or above as the date approached. April 12, 2026 - April 13, 2026, the price of 17°C climbed significantly from 17.5c to a high of 43.5c, driven by updated Wunderground forecasts indicating a high of 63°F (approx. 17°C). April 12, 2026 - April 13, 2026, the price of 14°C plummeted from a high of 23c to under 1c, because updated forecasts consistently indicated temperatures would be significantly higher than 14°C.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
Cooper Flagg
YesNo
46.65¢
53.35¢
56¢
44¢
+9.4¢
Kon Knueppel
YesNo
52.8¢
47.2¢
44¢
56¢
+8.8¢

Expand to view all 13 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Movers
Apr 12, 2026 - Apr 13, 2026, Kon Knueppel's price rebounded and surged from 33.1c to 43.75c, while Cooper Flagg's price fell from 64.15c to 56.0c. This was driven by newly disclosed partial media ballots unexpectedly favoring Knueppel, making the once-clear situation murky again and causing capital to rebalance the suspense. Apr 10, 2026 - Apr 12, 2026, Cooper Flagg's price rebounded and rose from 49.95c to 64.15c, while Kon Knueppel's price fell from 49.85c to 33.1c. This occurred because as more media voters revealed their actual ballots, Flagg gained a clearer advantage than expected, breaking the 50/50 tie and drawing capital back. Apr 10, 2026 - Apr 11, 2026, Cooper Flagg's price rebounded from 49.95c to 62.6c, while Kon Knueppel's price fell from 49.85c to 38.05c, due to media ballots increasingly favoring Flagg. Apr 08, 2026 - Apr 10, 2026, Cooper Flagg's price plummeted from 71.85c to 49.95c, while Kon Knueppel's price surged from 26.6c to 49.85c. This occurred because, following the official end of the regular season, early media ballot tracking revealed an extremely tight race, shifting the market consensus from a Flagg lead to an absolute coin flip, causing capital to flood back into Knueppel. Apr 06, 2026 - Apr 09, 2026, Kon Knueppel's price fluctuated between 36.85c and 26.6c (a >10c movement), while Cooper Flagg retraced from a high of 71.85c to 62.35c. This was driven by profit-taking after Flagg's massive rally, leading to a rebalancing of capital. Apr 05, 2026 - Apr 08, 2026, Cooper Flagg's price surged continuously from 24.85c to 71.85c, while Kon Knueppel's price plunged from 73.35c to 26.6c. This was driven by a critical late-season development (most likely leaked early media ballots heavily favoring Flagg or award-clinching performances) that caused a massive disruption and sustained reversal in market consensus. Mar 26, 2026 - Mar 27, 2026, Kon Knueppel's price surged from 57.05c to 70.8c, while Cooper Flagg plunged from 42.5c to 28c. This was likely due to a decisive late-season development (such as Flagg resting/injury or Knueppel delivering an award-clinching signature performance), shifting market consensus heavily back to Knueppel. Mar 23, 2026 - Mar 26, 2026, Cooper Flagg's price surged from 30.5c to 42.5c, driven by his continued explosive statistical outputs in the final stretch of the regular season, prompting heavy market betting on a potential comeback in the final voting. Mar 21, 2026 - Mar 25, 2026, Kon Knueppel's price steadily declined from 70c to 58.8c, while Cooper Flagg rebounded from 28c to 37.5c. This gradual shift occurred because Flagg continued to post elite numbers as the regular season concluded, causing the market to re-evaluate the Rookie of the Year race as a much tighter two-player contest. Mar 18, 2026 - Mar 24, 2026, the market recovered from panic and volatility stabilized. Cooper Flagg's price slowly climbed from a low of 27.5c back to 34c, as the market confirmed the Mavericks were not shutting him down, prompting buyers to re-enter on his statistical upside. Meanwhile, Kon Knueppel retraced from a high of 71.8c to 64.15c, reflecting a rebalancing of capital between the top two contenders. Mar 17, 2026 - Mar 18, 2026, Cooper Flagg's price plunged from 36.5c to 27.5c, while Kon Knueppel surged from 63.5c to 71.8c. This drastic move was driven by panic selling over fears that the Mavericks would forcibly rest Flagg to protect their draft position.

Support

Frequently Asked Questions

1. What is PolyPredict AI and how can I access it?
2. How does the AI determine the "Fair Value"?
3. What makes the "Arbitrage Plans" unique?
4. What is the difference between Event and Live Markets?
5. What are the key differences between the Free and Pro versions?
6. Can I use PolyPredict AI on Telegram?

The All-in-One AI Copilot for Prediction Markets

PolyPredict AI Robot