NHL Hart Memorial Trophy Winner
Sports|$266.4k Vol|
time76 days 16 hrs

NHL Hart Memorial Trophy Winner - AI Found +14.7¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 04.12 01:02
Top Undervalued
+14.7¢
Nikita Kucherov(No)
+8.8¢
Connor McDavid(Yes)
+4¢
Nathan MacKinnon(Yes)

NHL Hart Memorial Trophy Winner AI analysis: • +14.7¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
As the regular season concludes, Connor McDavid has aggressively re-entered the core MVP conversatio...
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Real-time High Yield Opportunities

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Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
World|$920.8k Vol|
time168 days 16 hrs

Russia Parliamentary Election Winner

Top Undervalued
+2.7¢
United Russia (ER)(Yes)
Arbitrage Opportunity
4¢
Arbitrage
8.4%
Annualized yield
Arbitrage|Low Risk
Arbitrage Plan: Buy Yes shares of United Russia (ER) at 96.25c. Plan Description: In the Russian political environment, the probability of United Russia losing the State Duma electio...
🔓 Unlock Full Arb Plan (Pro)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Given Russia's current authoritarian political system, a victory for United Russia is structurally g...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
Hedging
RSX
Given the tight grip on power by Putin and United Russia, the status quo is widely expected to persist, meaning the election outcome is likely already priced in with little potential for market disruption. However, in the extremely low-probability 'black swan' scenario of an opposition upset or significant unrest, there would be a major shock to Russia-linked assets (like the RSX ETF, if tradable) and potential spillover into Crude Oil and Gold via geopolitical risk premiums. Under normal expectations, the impact on global broad assets is negligible.
AI Analysis
Berlin State Election Winner
Politics|$2.6m Vol|
time158 days 16 hrs

Berlin State Election Winner

Top Undervalued
+0.5¢
BSW(Yes)
+0.5¢
Linke(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Current polls show the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) maintaining around 23% support in Berlin, le...
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AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 15?
Weather|$11.7k Vol|
time1 days 4 hrs

Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 15?

Top Undervalued
+16.9¢
21°C or below(No)
+5.5¢
24°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest weather forecasts, the high temperature in Wuhan (Tianhe International Airpo...
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Exotics
Moderately exotic. While betting on the daily high temperature of a specific city is a niche market, weather prediction is a common daily derivative format in prediction markets and is not entirely bizarre.
Divergence
Current meteorological models (such as AccuWeather) forecast a high of around 22°C for April 15. However, the market assigns the highest probability to 23°C (34c) and 24°C (23c). This suggests that traders anticipate the actual recorded temperature will slightly exceed the mainstream forecasted values, creating a moderate divergence.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 15?
Weather|$48.5k Vol|
time1 days 4 hrs

Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 15?

Top Undervalued
+28¢
15°C or higher(No)
+15.9¢
14°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Recent weather forecasts indicate that the highest temperature in Warsaw on April 15, 2026, is expec...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
Exotics
This is a prediction about the high temperature in a specific city on a specific date. While weather forecasting is a common daily activity, setting up a specific short-term prediction market for an exact degree in Warsaw is a relatively niche and specific market.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
Nikita Kucherov
YesNo
28.75¢
71.25¢
14¢
86¢
+14.7¢
Connor McDavid
YesNo
26.15¢
73.85¢
35¢
65¢
+8.8¢

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⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Movers
Apr 8, 2026 - Apr 11, 2026, Connor McDavid's price skyrocketed from 6.1c to 35.75c, driven by an epic late-season scoring tear that dramatically closed the statistical gap and forced the market to quickly re-price him as a top Hart Trophy contender. Mar 26, 2026 - Mar 28, 2026, Nikita Kucherov's price fluctuated and pulled back from 60.75c to 54.35c, driven by profit-taking after a sharp surge and the ongoing tight Art Ross race. Mar 25, 2026 - Mar 27, 2026, Nathan MacKinnon's price rebounded from 38c to 50c before settling at 41c, reflecting buy-the-dip behavior from his supporters after Kucherov's strong overtake. Mar 18, 2026 - Mar 22, 2026, Macklin Celebrini's price crashed from 31.25c to 8.3c as the market capitulated on the Sharks' playoff chances, recognizing the strict team-success criteria for Hart voters and bursting the rookie hype bubble. Mar 19, 2026 - Mar 22, 2026, Nikita Kucherov's price surged from 11.85c to 33.05c, driven by a dominant scoring week that saw him close the gap in the Art Ross race, forcing a repricing of the event into a legitimate two-horse race. Mar 17, 2026 - Mar 18, 2026, Nathan MacKinnon's price dropped from 67.5c to 56.5c, reflecting the erosion of his runaway favorite status due to Kucherov's rise. Mar 13, 2026 - Mar 15, 2026, Macklin Celebrini experienced previous volatility, dipping from 17.9c to 7.95c before a brief rebound, indicating long-standing market uncertainty regarding his valuation.

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