NHL Jack Adams Award Winner
Sports|$47.4k Vol|
time76 days 8 hrs

NHL Jack Adams Award Winner - AI Found +30.1¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 04.04 17:43
Top Undervalued
+30.1¢
Lindy Ruff(No)
+20.6¢
Jon Cooper(Yes)
+4¢
Dan Muse(Yes)

NHL Jack Adams Award Winner AI analysis: • +30.1¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
The sum of 'Yes' prices across all options is around 118 cents, indicating a market premium. Lindy R...
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Real-time High Yield Opportunities

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SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?
Politics|$105.1k Vol|
time138 days 8 hrs

SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?

Top Undervalued
+0.1¢
(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
This event predicts whether the US Supreme Court will rule against Donald Trump's Executive Order on...
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Rule Risk
There is moderate rule risk. The rules explicitly exclude procedural rulings (e.g., dismissal for lack of standing), meaning even if the EO is practically blocked, the market won't resolve to 'Yes' without a ruling on the merits. Additionally, if the EO is withdrawn before a ruling, it resolves to 'No'.
AI Analysis
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?
Politics|$86.3k Vol|
time15 days 8 hrs

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?

Top Undervalued
+3¢
June 30(No)
+2.5¢
April 30(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
With only 15 days remaining until April 30, despite ongoing US anti-drug operations in Latin America...
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Rule Risk
High rule risk. The main controversy lies in defining 'directly participate.' While the rules exclude intelligence/logistical support, the line between 'advisor' and 'combatant' is often blurred in special ops. Furthermore, requiring official US government confirmation or an 'overwhelming consensus' creates a high burden of proof; covert operations might occur but fail to meet the evidence threshold.
Exotics
Moderately high exoticism. While US anti-drug ops are common, 'direct ground troops or kinetic strikes' represent a significant violation of sovereignty (especially regarding Mexico). This is an extreme scenario that is frequently discussed as a 'black swan' geopolitical event but rarely implemented.
Hedging
MXN=X
If this event occurs, it would be a seismic event for US-Mexico relations. Direct military action would cause a sharp depreciation of the Mexican Peso (MXN) due to diplomatic crises or sanction fears. Crude oil might fluctuate due to instability, and Gold would react as a safe haven, but the most direct hedge is shorting the Mexican Peso.
Divergence
The market assigns a high probability of 41% to the June 30 option, which significantly diverges from the consensus of mainstream geopolitical and military analysts. Mainstream consensus maintains that conducting direct kinetic strikes or deploying combat ground forces on foreign soil without explicit host nation consent (e.g., Mexico) would trigger severe diplomatic crises and sovereignty disputes. Consequently, the US government highly prefers combatting cartels via intelligence sharing, logistical aid, and advisory task forces rather than direct combat, suggesting the prediction market is overpricing the likelihood of an imminent radical military escalation.
AI Analysis
Elon Musk # tweets April 16 - April 18, 2026?
Culture|$34.5k Vol|
time4 days 0 hrs

Elon Musk # tweets April 16 - April 18, 2026?

Top Undervalued
+5.9¢
140-164(Yes)
+5.5¢
65-89(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on Elon Musk's historical tweeting frequency, his post volume (including main posts, quote pos...
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Rule Risk
Moderate risk exists. Resolution relies on a specific third-party tracker (xtracker) and involves nuanced rules (e.g., specific exceptions for main feed replies, and counting deleted tweets if captured within 5 mins). This can cause discrepancies between the tracker data and native user observations on X.
Exotics
Highly exotic. Betting on the exact tweet volume of a public figure over a random 48-hour window is a pure novelty market tailored for crypto-native speculation, rarely seen in traditional or serious forecasting.
AI Analysis
Lowest temperature in Seoul on April 15?
Weather|$14.1k Vol|
time1 days 20 hrs

Lowest temperature in Seoul on April 15?

Top Undervalued
+20.2¢
11°C(Yes)
+10.4¢
10°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on current weather forecasts, the lowest temperature for Seoul (specifically Incheon Intl Airp...
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Rule Risk
The title asks for Seoul's lowest temperature, but the resolution explicitly relies on data from the Incheon International Airport Station. Incheon is a separate, coastal city, and its temperature often differs from central Seoul. This discrepancy is a significant trap for traders who only read the title.
Exotics
While weather betting is a known niche in prediction markets, predicting the exact lowest temperature for a specific city on a specific day is highly granular and not a mainstream topic of natural daily concern for the general public.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on April 15?
Weather|$19.0k Vol|
time20 hrs 55 mins

Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on April 15?

Top Undervalued
+4.5¢
33°C(No)
+3.8¢
31°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest meteorological forecasts, Kuala Lumpur International Airport (WMKK) is expec...
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Exotics
Predicting the exact daily high temperature for a specific city is a niche but standard topic in prediction markets. While common for specialized bettors, the general public rarely speculates on short-term exact daily temperature figures unless an extreme weather event is occurring.
Movers
April 13, 2026 - April 14, 2026, the price of the 32°C option steadily climbed from 22.5c to 39c, while the 33°C option also rose from 21c to 34.5c. This occurred because, as the resolution date approached, updated weather forecast models slightly shifted the consensus maximum temperature from 31°C to the 32°C-33°C range, driving up demand for these options. On April 13, 2026, the 31°C option briefly spiked from 26.5c to 36.5c before retreating to 21.3c, as earlier forecasts on that day temporarily leaned toward a cooler outcome before being revised.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
Lindy Ruff
YesNo
80.15¢
19.85¢
50¢
50¢
+30.1¢
Jon Cooper
YesNo
11.4¢
88.6¢
32¢
68¢
+20.6¢

Expand to view all 32 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Movers
From Apr 1, 2026, to Apr 4, 2026, Dan Muse's price spiked from 0.35c to 14.25c, driven by a reassessment of his coaching performance and a speculative rush. From Apr 1, 2026, to Apr 4, 2026, Lindy Ruff's price dropped from 63.95c to 52.75c, while Jon Cooper's price rebounded to 37.15c after dropping to 27.15c, as the award race intensified late in the regular season, dividing voter expectations. From Mar 17, 2026, to Mar 18, 2026, Jared Bednar's price rebounded from 5.1c to 11.55c, as the market technically corrected after overselling, with speculators re-entering due to the Colorado Avalanche's solid record. From Mar 15, 2026, to Mar 16, 2026, Ryan Warsofsky's price corrected sharply from 20.35c to 10.9c, as the San Jose Sharks' performance failed to sustain the 'Cinderella story' narrative late in the season, popping the premium bubble. From Feb 27, 2026, to Mar 5, 2026, Dan Muse experienced extreme volatility, spiking from 4.55c to 24.45c before correcting to 15.45c, driven by speculative hype followed by a realization of overvaluation.

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