NHL: Atlantic Division Winner
Sports|$761.6k Vol|
time15 days 16 hrs

NHL: Atlantic Division Winner - AI Mispricing Alert

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Last updated: 04.13 16:50
Top Undervalued

NHL: Atlantic Division Winner AI analysis: Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest market data, the Buffalo Sabres' implied probability has stabilized around 75%, ...
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Highest temperature in NYC on April 14?
Weather|$69.2k Vol|
time4 hrs 28 mins

Highest temperature in NYC on April 14?

Top Undervalued
+4.5¢
82-83°F(No)
+2.2¢
88-89°F(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest weather forecasts and market trading trends, the highest temperature at New York...
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Movers
April 13, 2026 - April 14, 2026, the price of the 82-83°F option further climbed from 27c to 38.5c, while the 78-79°F option plummeted from 21c to 8.5c. This was due to approaching resolution and updated weather models confirming the incoming heat wave, eliminating the chances of milder temperatures. April 12, 2026 - April 13, 2026, the price of the 82-83°F option surged from 8c to 27c, as new weather models predicted temperatures might be slightly higher than previously expected. April 12, 2026 - April 13, 2026, the price of the 74-75°F option fell from 14c to 3.9c, as weather forecasts ruled out the possibility of lower temperatures.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Seattle on April 14?
Weather|$41.4k Vol|
time4 hrs 28 mins

Highest temperature in Seattle on April 14?

Top Undervalued
+10¢
46-47°F(No)
+8¢
48-49°F(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest forecasts, NWS predicts a high near 50°F (with rain) for Seattle on April 14...
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Movers
April 12, 2026 - April 13, 2026, the price of '44-45°F' plummeted from 25c to 4c before recovering to 8.9c, as weather models adjusted the expected temperatures upward during the rain event, pricing out extreme cold. April 12, 2026 - April 13, 2026, the price of '46-47°F' dropped from 34c to 19.5c before rebounding to 31c, reflecting market indecision and minor model adjustments regarding the exact magnitude of the frontal cooling.
Divergence
There is a noticeable divergence. Mainstream forecasts (like NWS and KING 5) project a high around 50-51°F, yet the market assigns the highest probability (~68%) to the colder 46-49°F range. This suggests the market might be relying on more aggressive cold-front models (like specific high-res local models) or anticipating that continuous rain will suppress the actual daytime high more than generic forecasts suggest.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Paris on April 14?
Weather|$53.9k Vol|
time4 hrs 28 mins

Highest temperature in Paris on April 14?

Top Undervalued
+8.5¢
17°C(No)
+7.5¢
18°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest weather forecasts, the high temperature for Paris (including Charles de Gaul...
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Movers
April 12, 2026 - April 13, 2026, the price of the 15°C option plummeted from 26.5c to 8.5c, while the 17°C option rose from 27.5c to 38c, as weather models adjusted their peak temperature forecasts from a cooler 15-16°C up to 16-17°C as the date approached. April 12, 2026, the 18°C option spiked to 35c before dropping back to 21c, due to intraday volatility in weather forecasts that eventually settled on the 16-17°C range.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 14?
Weather|$26.3k Vol|
time4 hrs 28 mins

Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 14?

Top Undervalued
+17.5¢
27°C(No)
+13.5¢
28°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The latest weather forecasts indicate that the high temperature in Sao Paulo (Guarulhos Airport) on ...
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Movers
April 12, 2026 - April 13, 2026, the price of the 29°C option plummeted from 25.5c to 4.3c, the 25°C option dropped from 25c to 7.5c, while the 28°C option rose from 20.5c to 30.5c. This is because, as the resolution date approaches, weather forecast models have converged, ruling out more extreme temperatures (25°C and 29°C) and concentrating market confidence in the 26°C-28°C range. In the previous analysis, no options had experienced a price movement of more than 10 cents in the prior 3 days.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in London on April 14?
Weather|$218.2k Vol|
time4 hrs 28 mins

Highest temperature in London on April 14?

Top Undervalued
+24.5¢
17°C(Yes)
+17.5¢
15°C(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest market prices and previous forecasts, the probability of 16°C has risen to the h...
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Movers
April 13, 2026 - April 14, 2026, the price of 16°C surged from 40c to 51c, as weather forecast data further confirmed 16°C as the most likely high temperature approaching resolution. April 13, 2026 - April 14, 2026, the price of 17°C fell back from a high of 43.5c to 30.5c, because as time progressed, the likelihood of reaching 17°C decreased, with forecasts trending towards a slightly cooler 16°C. April 12, 2026 - April 13, 2026, the price of 16°C surged steadily from 17.5c to a peak of 52.5c before settling at 38.5c, as weather forecasting models became much more certain about highs reaching 16°C or above as the date approached. April 12, 2026 - April 13, 2026, the price of 17°C climbed significantly from 17.5c to a high of 43.5c, driven by updated Wunderground forecasts indicating a high of 63°F (approx. 17°C). April 12, 2026 - April 13, 2026, the price of 14°C plummeted from a high of 23c to under 1c, because updated forecasts consistently indicated temperatures would be significantly higher than 14°C.
AI Analysis
⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Movers
April 11, 2026 - April 13, 2026, Tampa Bay Lightning's price rebounded from 7.5c to 20.0c, while Montreal Canadiens' price crashed from 18.0c to 5.15c, as the Lightning secured key wins or rivals stumbled to regain a glimmer of hope, whereas the Canadiens suffered a severe setback and essentially dropped out. April 8, 2026 - April 11, 2026, Buffalo Sabres' price surged from 32.2c to 65.9c, while Tampa Bay Lightning's price crashed from 45.0c to 7.5c. This was due to the Sabres winning crucial games in the final stretch to consolidate their top position, while the Lightning performed poorly, essentially dropping out of the division title race. April 7, 2026 - April 10, 2026, Buffalo Sabres' price surged from 20.6c to 70.05c, while Tampa Bay Lightning's price crashed from 64.5c to 9.5c. This is due to the Buffalo Sabres securing a decisive lead in the final stretch of the regular season, while the Tampa Bay Lightning suffered a severe setback, effectively knocking them out of the division title race. April 6, 2026 - April 9, 2026, Buffalo Sabres' price surged from 8.5c to 44.75c, while Tampa Bay Lightning's price crashed from 81.5c to 40.5c. This is due to a massive turnaround in the late-season standings, where the Sabres built strong momentum to become the new favorites, while the Lightning suffered critical losses that erased their significant lead. April 6, 2026 - April 7, 2026, Buffalo Sabres' price rebounded from 8.5c to 20.6c, and Tampa Bay Lightning's price dropped from 81.5c to 64.5c, indicating late-season results caused fluctuations, giving Buffalo renewed hope to catch up and keeping the division race alive. April 5, 2026 - April 6, 2026, Tampa Bay Lightning's price surged from 60.5c to 81.5c, while Montreal Canadiens' price crashed from 22.45c to 10.5c. This was caused by Tampa Bay securing decisive victories in the final stretch, significantly widening the points gap and effectively locking up the Atlantic Division. April 3, 2026 - April 5, 2026, Montreal Canadiens' price surged from 9.75c to 22.45c. This is because the team secured crucial victories late in the regular season, narrowing the points gap with the leader and rekindling their championship hopes. April 2, 2026 - April 5, 2026, Buffalo Sabres' price crashed from 45.75c to 12.25c. This is due to losses in key games combined with strong performances from rivals, significantly decreasing their probability of winning the division title. April 2, 2026 - April 3, 2026, Tampa Bay Lightning's price surged from 44.5c to 71.0c, while Buffalo Sabres' price crashed from 45.75c to 19.0c. This is because Tampa Bay gained a crucial advantage in the late-season standings race, heavily solidifying their lead while holding a game in hand. March 31, 2026 - April 1, 2026, Tampa Bay Lightning's price crashed from 72.5c to 49.5c, while Buffalo Sabres' price surged from 21.95c to 38.15c. This is due to critical late-season results (such as a Tampa loss combined with a Buffalo win) that abruptly narrowed the points gap, reigniting the division race.

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