NHL: Pacific Division Winner
Sports|$456.4k Vol|
time15 days 16 hrs

NHL: Pacific Division Winner - AI Found +58.3¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 04.11 06:08
Top Undervalued
+58.3¢
Vegas Golden Knights(No)
+48¢
Edmonton Oilers(Yes)
+13.7¢
Anaheim Ducks(Yes)

NHL: Pacific Division Winner AI analysis: • +58.3¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on recent market data, the Edmonton Oilers have expanded their lead, firmly holding the favori...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)

Real-time High Yield Opportunities

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Will gas hit __ by end of April?
Economy|$285.9k Vol|
time15 days 16 hrs

Will gas hit __ by end of April?

Top Undervalued
+0.5¢
↓ $3.95(Yes)
+0.5¢
↓ $3.85(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The market maintains a relatively high expectation (around 65%) that the US national average gas pri...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
Hedging
Crude Oil
The US average gasoline price is highly correlated with crude oil prices. If gas prices hit extreme highs (like $4.50 or $5.00), it typically indicates a significant supply shock or demand surge in the crude oil market, making this a direct tool for hedging against crude oil price volatility.
Movers
April 11, 2026 - April 13, 2026, the price of the ↑ $4.25 option surged from 45c to 65.5c. The reason is that as the situation in the Middle East evolves, market concerns about crude oil supply disruptions have intensified, driving up expectations for short-term gas price increases. April 5, 2026 - April 6, 2026, the price of the ↓ $3.85 option surged from 9c to 30.5c, likely due to rumors of potential US government intervention (such as releasing the Strategic Petroleum Reserve) or signals of a temporary de-escalation in the Middle East, prompting some capital to bet on a short-term pullback in gas prices. March 28, 2026 - March 31, 2026, due to the sharp escalation of the Iran conflict disrupting global crude supply chains, and AAA reporting the national average gas price crossing $4 for the first time since 2022, the prices for the ↑ $4.05 and ↑ $4.15 options surged by more than 15c.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 15?
Weather|$53.6k Vol|
time1 days 4 hrs

Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 15?

Top Undervalued
+33.3¢
22°C(Yes)
+26¢
20°C(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The latest weather forecasts indicate that the highest temperature for Tokyo Haneda Airport (RJTT) o...
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Rule Risk
The rules mention using the 'Forecast' from Wunderground but provide a link to the 'History' page, which could cause literal ambiguity regarding the resolution criteria. Additionally, occasional missing data on the weather platform or the integer rounding rules when converting from Fahrenheit to Celsius might lead to edge-case disputes.
Movers
April 13, 2026 - April 13, 2026, the price of '24°C or higher' plummeted from 45c to 7.5c. The reason is that as the target date approaches, the latest weather forecasts clearly indicate a high of around 21-22°C, largely ruling out the possibility of an extreme high of 24°C or above.
AI Analysis
Ella Langley 'Dandelion' First Week Album Sales?
Culture|$21.1k Vol|
time2 days 16 hrs

Ella Langley 'Dandelion' First Week Album Sales?

Top Undervalued
+6.3¢
140k+(No)
+5.1¢
120k-140k(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The sum of all Yes prices is currently around 101.7%, indicating a very tight market premium. With t...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
Exotics
Predicting the debut week sales of a specific artist is a relatively standard pop culture/entertainment market. It has a dedicated niche audience of chart watchers and music industry trackers, but isn't universally followed like elections or macroeconomics, making it moderately niche.
Movers
April 12, 2026 - April 13, 2026, the price of the '140k+' option surged from 72.5c to 90c, while the '120k-140k' option plummeted from 18c to 6.5c. This occurred because early tracking data for the album's first weekend (such as Hits Daily Double projections) further confirmed expectations that sales would significantly exceed 140,000 units, leading the market to price in this outcome almost entirely. April 10, 2026 - April 12, 2026, the price of the '140k+' option surged from 53.5c to 76c, driven by early data performance following the album's official release exceeding expectations, leading to heavy betting that debut week sales will surpass 140k. April 10, 2026 - April 12, 2026, the '120k-140k' option dropped from 35.5c to 15c, and the '100k-120k' option fell from 28c to 7c, as market confidence shifted to the highest sales bracket, ruling out lower ranges. April 8, 2026 - April 11, 2026, the price of the '140k+' option surged from 45c to 67c, while the '120k-140k' option dropped from 44.5c to 22.5c. This was driven by recent streaming data and early projections elevating sales expectations as the album release approached, causing capital to heavily concentrate in the highest bracket. April 8, 2026 - April 10, 2026, the price of the '80k-100k' option plummeted from 35.5c to 18c, and '100k-120k' fell from 41c to 31c. The reason is a significant upward shift in debut week sales expectations, causing capital to rotate into higher brackets (>120k), alongside a gradual correction of market overpricing.
AI Analysis
Trump announces tariff for Iran military cooperation by April 17?
Economy|$55.5k Vol|
time2 days 16 hrs

Trump announces tariff for Iran military cooperation by April 17?

Top Undervalued
+0.5¢
(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
With only about 3 days left until expiration, and Trump having already announced a blanket 50% tarif...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
Rule Risk
The primary risk lies in defining the motive behind the tariff. If the official announcement does not explicitly state 'military cooperation with Iran' as the reason, the market must rely on a 'consensus of credible reporting', which is highly prone to disputes during resolution.
Hedging
Crude Oil
Tariffs on countries assisting Iran militarily would not only escalate trade frictions (potentially impacting the S&P 500 if targeting major economies) but also highlight escalating Middle East geopolitical risks. This would directly drive up crude oil prices and boost demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
Vegas Golden Knights
YesNo
81.3¢
18.7¢
23¢
77¢
+58.3¢
Edmonton Oilers
YesNo
11¢
89¢
59¢
41¢
+48¢

Expand to view all 4 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Movers
Apr 8, 2026 - Apr 11, 2026, The Edmonton Oilers' price surged from 41.5c to a peak of 63.5c before settling at 53.5c, while the Vegas Golden Knights (VGK) plummeted from 48.85c to 21c. This was likely due to the Oilers securing a crucial lead in divisional matchups, whereas VGK missed a prime opportunity to overtake the top spot. Mar 31, 2026 - Apr 4, 2026, The Anaheim Ducks' price plummeted from 74.25c to 38.55c, while the Edmonton Oilers' price skyrocketed from 14c to 45.5c. This massive reversal indicates that the Ducks have suffered a severe slump or injuries during the final stretch of the regular season, while the Oilers have surged, overtaking them as the new favorite to win the Pacific Division. Mar 21, 2026 - Mar 27, 2026, The Anaheim Ducks' price surged significantly from 52.3c to 79.7c, as the team solidified their position at the top of the division during the regular-season stretch run, drastically increasing their win probability as remaining games dwindled. Mar 21, 2026 - Mar 27, 2026, The Edmonton Oilers' price dropped from 18.5c to 7.5c, and the Vegas Golden Knights (VGK) plummeted from 25.5c to 6.5c, due to the rival Ducks establishing an insurmountable lead. Mar 15, 2026 - Mar 21, 2026, A massive 'scissors' divergence occurred between the Anaheim Ducks and the Vegas Golden Knights (VGK). The Ducks surged steadily from 33c to 52c, establishing themselves as the clear favorite, while VGK collapsed from a dominant 53c to 25c. This drastic inverse volatility suggests a material change in the divisional standings, likely due to VGK losing key head-to-head matchups or suffering a losing streak. Mar 12, 2026 - Mar 14, 2026, The Vegas Golden Knights experienced extreme volatility, skyrocketing from 20.5c to 48c before correcting to 34c, reflecting extreme market confusion and speculation regarding the team's status. Mar 8, 2026 - Mar 12, 2026, The Anaheim Ducks climbed from 47c to a peak of 52c, marking their first serious attempt to seize the division lead.

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