[Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment] Retrieve the latest data for the NJ-12 Democratic Primary market; given the extremely low volume of ~$1.5, analyze whether there is any genuine bid/ask depth or if this is a zombie market, and reassess the risks of capital entry at this stage.

AI-powered analysis for: [Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment] Retrieve the latest data for the NJ-12 Democratic Primary market; given the extremely low volume of ~$1.5, analyze whether there is any genuine bid/ask depth or if this is a zombie market, and reassess the risks of capital entry at this stage.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

[Key Players Mining] Search for the Democratic County Chairs in Mercer, Middlesex, Somerset, and Union counties, and given New Jersey's unique 'County Line' ballot design, analyze how endorsements from these key figures will dictate the ultimate primary winner.

AI-powered analysis for: [Key Players Mining] Search for the Democratic County Chairs in Mercer, Middlesex, Somerset, and Union counties, and given New Jersey's unique 'County Line' ballot design, analyze how endorsements from these key figures will dictate the ultimate primary winner.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

[Opportunity Cost of Capital] Given that the primary is on June 2, 2026, calculate the opportunity cost of locking up capital in this market for over 2 years, and compare it with the ~4-5% risk-free yield from DeFi protocols or Treasuries to determine if the current odds offer any value.

AI-powered analysis for: [Opportunity Cost of Capital] Given that the primary is on June 2, 2026, calculate the opportunity cost of locking up capital in this market for over 2 years, and compare it with the ~4-5% risk-free yield from DeFi protocols or Treasuries to determine if the current odds offer any value.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner

Elections|$25.8k Vol|

48 days 5 hrs

NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner - AI Found +23¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 04.02 17:37

Top Undervalued

+23¢

Verlina Reynolds-Jackson(Yes)

+21.3¢

Elijah Dixon(No)

+15.5¢

Brad Cohen(No)

NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner AI analysis: • +23¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:

The market is experiencing severe premium inflation, with the sum of all 'Yes' prices reaching ~134....

🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)

All Outcomes

Market Price

AI Fair Value

Value Edge

Verlina Reynolds-Jackson

YesNo

22¢

78¢

45¢

55¢

+23¢

0¢

Elijah Dixon

YesNo

22.25¢

77.75¢

1¢

99¢

0¢

+21.3¢

Expand to view all 11 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.

Movers

March 30, 2026 - April 2, 2026: Adam Hamawy surged from 6c to 27c, Adrian Mapp spiked from 4.8c to 17.4c (then settling at 15.4c), and Brad Cohen dumped from 46.5c to 31.5c. Reason: Highly unusual capital flows continue as speculators rotate funds from previously pumped candidates into other long-shots, causing widespread irrational volatility. March 16, 2026 - March 18, 2026: Brad Cohen skyrocketed from 17.5c to 35c, Tennille R. McCoy from 2.5c to 17.9c, and Michael Anderson from 4.8c to 17.3c; simultaneously, Susan Altman plunged from 31c to 23.5c. Reason: Highly unusual capital flow detected. Buyers appear to be systematically bidding up all second-tier candidates, pushing the total market implied probability over 150%. This volatility suggests liquidity-driven speculation or manipulation rather than a fundamental shift.

Divergence

The prediction market's total implied probability of 134.4% and the erratic price spikes among second-tier candidates are completely detached from mainstream political consensus. Local political analysts generally view Verlina Reynolds-Jackson and Susan Altman as the definitive frontrunners, whereas current market capital allocation ignores district geography and actual grassroots support networks.