AI Signal Dashboard
Last updated: 04.11 23:50
Top Undervalued
+0.5¢
Alfonso López Chau(No)
+0.4¢
Rafael López Aliaga(No)
+0.2¢
Roberto Sánchez Palomino(No)
Peru Presidential Election First Round Winner AI analysis: Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.
Undervalued Options Insights:
With only hours left until the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election, market confid...
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Real-time High Yield Opportunities
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Outcomes
Market
Price
AI Fair
Value
Value
Edge
Alfonso López Chau
YesNo
0.5¢
99.5¢
0¢
100¢
0¢
+0.5¢
Rafael López Aliaga
YesNo
4.4¢
95.6¢
4¢
96¢
0¢
+0.4¢
Expand to view all 23 options
⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Hedging
SCCO
EPU
Peru is the world's second-largest copper producer and a major gold producer. The election outcome directly dictates mining policy, taxation, and the environment for foreign investment. If a radical left or anti-mining candidate (like certain figures listed) leads the first round, it would trigger fears of nationalization or strikes, causing significant volatility in the Peru ETF (EPU) and miners with heavy Peruvian exposure (e.g., Southern Copper, SCCO). Copper prices might also see minor impact due to supply disruption fears.
Movers
2026-04-10 - 2026-04-11, Ricardo Belmont's price retreated from 24.6c to 14.8c, as the initial frenzy of anti-establishment voters cooled down and market sentiment became more rational just before voting.
2026-04-09 - 2026-04-10, Ricardo Belmont's price surged from 5.75c to 24.6c, due to a rapid late-stage consolidation of anti-establishment voters, making him the strongest dark horse to challenge Fujimori.
2026-04-09 - 2026-04-10, Keiko Fujimori's price crashed from 82c to 62c, driven by a loss of polling momentum in the final hours and potential strategic voting backlash against her.
2026-04-06 - 2026-04-09, Keiko Fujimori's price surged from 62c to 82c, driven by a massive late-stage consolidation of right-wing votes ahead of the election, further securing her first-round lead.
2026-04-05 - 2026-04-09, Carlos Álvarez's price dropped from 16.85c to 5.75c, likely due to a temporary rise in polling support and positive feedback on campaign activities failing to maintain momentum.
2026-04-05 - 2026-04-09, Rafael López Aliaga's price dropped from 12c to 6.55c, driven by weak late-stage campaign performance and right-wing voter migration to Keiko Fujimori.
2026-04-05 - 2026-04-09, Roberto Sánchez Palomino's price crashed from 9.65c to 1.25c, indicating a late-stage collapse in support as voters migrate to stronger contenders.