[Mandatory Task] Retrieve the latest market data for the "SC-01 Republican Primary Winner" event. Analyze the order book depth for top contenders (e.g., Jenny Costa Honeycutt, Logan Cunningham) given the low liquidity ($3,535), and assess if the current prices reflect the long-term capital lock-up risk compared to the fundamental political landscape in South Carolina.

AI-powered analysis for: [Mandatory Task] Retrieve the latest market data for the "SC-01 Republican Primary Winner" event. Analyze the order book depth for top contenders (e.g., Jenny Costa Honeycutt, Logan Cunningham) given the low liquidity ($3,535), and assess if the current prices reflect the long-term capital lock-up risk compared to the fundamental political landscape in South Carolina.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

[Awareness & Verification] Conduct a search on South Carolina political news to identify the decisive "Key Players" in the SC-01 district. Specifically, verify if Donald Trump or local heavyweights (like the Governor) have hinted at endorsements, and check the latest FEC fundraising filings to see which candidate (Honeycutt, Myers, etc.) has the financial backing to sustain a campaign until 2026.

AI-powered analysis for: [Awareness & Verification] Conduct a search on South Carolina political news to identify the decisive "Key Players" in the SC-01 district. Specifically, verify if Donald Trump or local heavyweights (like the Governor) have hinted at endorsements, and check the latest FEC fundraising filings to see which candidate (Honeycutt, Myers, etc.) has the financial backing to sustain a campaign until 2026.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

[Decision & Action] Perform an Opportunity Cost calculation for this long-duration event (resolves June 2026). Compare the potential profit from buying a "Yes" share on a favorite now versus the compounding yield of keeping that capital in a risk-free DeFi protocol or Treasury bond for the remaining duration, to determine if the current odds offer a sufficient risk premium.

AI-powered analysis for: [Decision & Action] Perform an Opportunity Cost calculation for this long-duration event (resolves June 2026). Compare the potential profit from buying a "Yes" share on a favorite now versus the compounding yield of keeping that capital in a risk-free DeFi protocol or Treasury bond for the remaining duration, to determine if the current odds offer a sufficient risk premium.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

SC-01 Republican Primary Winner

Elections|$7,176 Vol|

54 days 16 hrs

SC-01 Republican Primary Winner - AI Found +10¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 04.12 14:02

Top Undervalued

+10¢

Mark Smith(No)

+6¢

Alex Pelbath(No)

+5.5¢

Sam McCown(No)

SC-01 Republican Primary Winner AI analysis: • +10¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:

The sum of the Yes prices for all listed candidates is currently only around 84.05%, indicating a si...

🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)

All Outcomes

Market Price

AI Fair Value

Value Edge

Mark Smith

YesNo

40¢

60¢

30¢

70¢

0¢

+10¢

Alex Pelbath

YesNo

31¢

69¢

25¢

75¢

0¢

+6¢

Expand to view all 9 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.

Movers

April 9, 2026 - April 11, 2026, Jay Byars' price fell from 26.15c to 9.65c, and Sam McCown's price dropped from 29c to 19c, as the primary approaches and liquidity further consolidates at the top amid fluctuating polls and softening support for second-tier candidates. March 9, 2026 - March 11, 2026, Jay Byars' price crashed from 8.95c to 1.25c, and Logan Cunningham's price plummeted from 10.4c to 2.65c. This marks the third wave of 'field clearing,' with liquidity draining from tier-2 candidates to consolidate around the top three contenders. February 9, 2026 - February 11, 2026, Dan Brown and Jack Ellison saw their prices crash from 39.5c to 14.0c, driven by a market correction of the massive >200% total implied probability bubble.