The Masters 2026: Winner
Sports|$125.7m Vol|
time0 s

The Masters 2026: Winner - AI Mispricing Alert

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 04.12 21:49
Top Undervalued
+51¢
Rory McIlroy(No)
+20¢
Cameron Young(Yes)
+17.9¢
Justin Rose(Yes)

The Masters 2026: Winner AI analysis: Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
With only about 2 hours left until settlement, the tournament is in its absolute final stages. Accor...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)

Real-time High Yield Opportunities

View More
Highest temperature in Karachi on April 17?
Weather|$23.8k Vol|
time40 mins

Highest temperature in Karachi on April 17?

Top Undervalued
+60¢
35°C or higher(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest trading data, the prices for 34°C and 35°C or higher have increased, reflecting ...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
Exotics
While weather forecasting is a standard template in prediction markets, betting on the exact daily high temperature for a specific city in Pakistan remains a relatively niche topic that falls outside mainstream public interest.
Movers
Between 2026-04-15 06:08:18 and 2026-04-16 17:58:18, the price of '35°C or higher' rose from 26c to 50c, as approaching settlement times and weather forecasts indicated a higher likelihood of extreme temperatures, prompting traders to buy this option. Between 2026-04-15 06:08:18 and 2026-04-16 17:58:18, the price of '34°C' increased from 14c to 32c, driven by temperature forecasts trending around 34°C, increasing its probability. Between 2026-04-15 06:08:18 and 2026-04-16 17:58:18, the price of '33°C' peaked at 31c before falling to 21.5c, showing fluctuating market assessments of its likelihood. Between 2026-04-15 06:08:18 and 2026-04-16 19:03:18, the price of '31°C' dropped from 14c to 0.75c, as actual temperature expectations are significantly higher, making this option highly unlikely. Between 2026-04-15 06:08:18 and 2026-04-16 17:58:18, prices for '29°C' and below all dropped below 1c, as such low temperatures are extremely unlikely given the current season and forecasts.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 17?
Weather|$49.6k Vol|
time40 mins

Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 17?

Top Undervalued
+89.7¢
26°C or below(No)
+34.9¢
29°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest weather forecasts, the highest temperature at Guangzhou Baiyun Airport on April ...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
Movers
Between 14:43 and 16:53 on April 16, 2026, the price of the 29°C option surged from 28.5c to 37.5c (later retracing to 31.5c), driven by updated weather forecast data approaching the resolution time that significantly increased market expectations for this temperature range. Between 11:28 and 14:43 on April 16, 2026, the price of the 27°C option plummeted from 22.5c to 8c (later recovering to 13.5c), as the forecasted temperature median shifted upward, drastically reducing the expected probability of lower temperatures.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Cape Town on April 17?
Weather|$42.6k Vol|
time40 mins

Highest temperature in Cape Town on April 17?

Top Undervalued
+69.7¢
16°C(No)
+19.7¢
17°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest weather forecast trends and prediction market price movements, the expected high...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
Exotics
Predicting the daily high temperature of a specific city is a standard proposition in prediction markets, but it still carries a moderate level of novelty for the general public who wouldn't naturally ponder or bet on such localized daily data.
Movers
From April 15 to April 16, 2026, the price of the 15°C option surged from 20c to 32.5c, and the 16°C option surged from 20c to 31c, while the 18°C option plummeted from 28c to 12.5c. This is due to updated meteorological forecasts closer to the expiration date indicating a significant downward revision in Cape Town's expected high temperatures due to a cold front.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 17?
Weather|$38.1k Vol|
time40 mins

Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 17?

Top Undervalued
+63.8¢
33°C(No)
+29.8¢
34°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest forecasts, the highest temperature at Halim Perdanakusuma Airport in Jakarta...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
Exotics
Predicting the highest temperature of a specific city on a given day is a standard derivative play in prediction markets, but the general public rarely makes specific forecasts for such highly granular local data.
Movers
April 15, 2026 - April 16, 2026, the price of 31°C plummeted from 20.5c to 4c, and 37°C or higher crashed from 16c to 0.4c. Other non-core options such as 35°C, 36°C, 29°C, and 30°C also saw drops exceeding 10c. This occurred because as the resolution date approaches, weather forecasts became much more precise, ruling out extreme temperature scenarios and causing funds to concentrate rapidly on the core 32°C-34°C probability range.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Milan on April 17?
Weather|$50.6k Vol|
time40 mins

Highest temperature in Milan on April 17?

Top Undervalued
+8.5¢
24°C(No)
+6.5¢
23°C(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest weather forecasts, the highest temperature for Milan Malpensa on April 17 is exp...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
Exotics
While weather forecasting is a highly common daily topic, betting on the exact highest temperature down to a whole degree at a specific airport station remains a relatively niche and quantitative activity in prediction markets.
Movers
April 15, 2026 - April 16, 2026, the price of 24°C surged from 26.5c to 44.5c, and 23°C surged from 14c to 41.5c, while 22°C plummeted from 19.5c to 3.5c. This is because as the date approaches, weather forecasting models have become more concentrated and revised their expectations for the high temperature upward to the 23-24°C range.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
Rory McIlroy
YesNo
99.95¢
0.05¢
49¢
51¢
+51¢
Cameron Young
YesNo
0.05¢
99.95¢
20¢
80¢
+20¢

Expand to view all 31 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Movers
April 12, 2026 - April 12, 2026, Justin Rose's price surged from 3.6c to 29.9c, driven by a strong late charge in the final round, significantly closing the gap. April 12, 2026 - April 12, 2026, Russell Henley's price spiked from 1.15c to 10.6c, due to a hot streak that put him back in contention. April 11, 2026 - April 12, 2026, Cameron Young's price surged from 2.95c to 36.35c, driven by his continued excellent performance to join the leaders and nearly top the leaderboard in the final round. April 11, 2026 - April 12, 2026, Rory McIlroy's price dropped sharply from 69.5c to 32.0c, as his commanding lead was significantly eaten away by the chasing pack. April 11, 2026 - April 12, 2026, Sam Burns's price rose from 3.5c to 12.3c before crashing to 0.15c, as his brief contention hopes evaporated with a late collapse. April 10, 2026 - April 12, 2026, Scottie Scheffler's price plummeted from 18.5c to 0.85c before recovering to 18.45c, due to a severe drop in performance before a massive final-round rally. April 10, 2026 - April 11, 2026, Tommy Fleetwood's price rose sharply from 4.1c to 11.5c before retreating, driven by a strong showing that lacked consistency. April 9, 2026 - April 10, 2026, Xander Schauffele's price rose from 6.35c to 9.65c, due to solid opening round performances. April 9, 2026 - April 9, 2026, Patrick Reed's price jumped from 2.7c to 12.1c, due to his red-hot form in the opening round. April 9, 2026 - April 9, 2026, Jon Rahm's price dropped from 8.6c to 3.95c due to a poor opening performance. April 7, 2026 - April 7, 2026, Kurt Kitayama's price crashed from 46.0c to 0.55c, likely due to a swift correction of anomalous pricing caused by low early market liquidity.

Support

Frequently Asked Questions

1. What is PolyPredict AI and how can I access it?
2. How does the AI determine the "Fair Value"?
3. What makes the "Arbitrage Plans" unique?
4. What is the difference between Event and Live Markets?
5. What are the key differences between the Free and Pro versions?
6. Can I use PolyPredict AI on Telegram?

The All-in-One AI Copilot for Prediction Markets