[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Given the extremely low volume ($340) and long duration (until 2026) of this market, visit the Polymarket page to assess slippage risks from the bid-ask spread; simultaneously compare the 'Disciplinary' stats on the official UEFA website to confirm if the current actual leaders in cards are correctly priced or if the market data is significantly lagging.

AI-powered analysis for: [Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Given the extremely low volume ($340) and long duration (until 2026) of this market, visit the Polymarket page to assess slippage risks from the bid-ask spread; simultaneously compare the 'Disciplinary' stats on the official UEFA website to confirm if the current actual leaders in cards are correctly priced or if the market data is significantly lagging.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

[Rule Pitfall] Tie-Breaker & Scoring Logic: Search to verify the specific tie-breaker rule for this market, specifically whether the 'Alphabetical Order of Last Name' (e.g., Ramadani vs. Savić) is the strict decider in the event of a tie; also clarify if a 'second yellow resulting in a red' counts as only 1 card, and how this impacts the valuation of aggressive defensive players.

AI-powered analysis for: [Rule Pitfall] Tie-Breaker & Scoring Logic: Search to verify the specific tie-breaker rule for this market, specifically whether the 'Alphabetical Order of Last Name' (e.g., Ramadani vs. Savić) is the strict decider in the event of a tie; also clarify if a 'second yellow resulting in a red' counts as only 1 card, and how this impacts the valuation of aggressive defensive players.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

[Analysis & Reasoning] Tournament Survivorship & Opportunity Analysis: Analyze the advancement potential of the teams for key listed players (e.g., Borna Sosa, Cher Ndour) to determine which squads are likely to reach the finals of the 2025-26 season. Since 'more matches equals more chances for cards,' do the current odds undervalue the long-term accumulation potential of starters on stronger teams?

AI-powered analysis for: [Analysis & Reasoning] Tournament Survivorship & Opportunity Analysis: Analyze the advancement potential of the teams for key listed players (e.g., Borna Sosa, Cher Ndour) to determine which squads are likely to reach the finals of the 2025-26 season. Since 'more matches equals more chances for cards,' do the current odds undervalue the long-term accumulation potential of starters on stronger teams?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

UEFA Europa Conference League: Most Cards

Sports|$14.0k Vol|

43 days 12 hrs

UEFA Europa Conference League: Most Cards - AI Found +22¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 04.01 18:32

Top Undervalued

+22¢

Pep Chavarría(No)

+20.5¢

Petros Mantalos(No)

+20¢

Răzvan Gabriel Marin(No)

UEFA Europa Conference League: Most Cards AI analysis: • +22¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:

The market exhibits severe liquidity distortion, with the sum of implied probabilities for 'Yes' opt...

🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)

All Outcomes

Market Price

AI Fair Value

Value Edge

Pep Chavarría

YesNo

42¢

58¢

20¢

80¢

0¢

+22¢

Petros Mantalos

YesNo

25.5¢

74.5¢

5¢

95¢

0¢

+20.5¢

Expand to view all 11 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.

Exotics

This is a relatively niche sports derivative market. Firstly, the UEFA Conference League has lower visibility than the Champions League. Secondly, predicting the player with the 'most cards' over a full season involves extreme randomness (dependent on team progression, referee strictness, and injuries), and the options list consists mostly of non-superstar players, making it a deep sports data speculation.

Movers

March 28, 2026 - March 29, 2026, Petros Mantalos's price plummeted from 47.5c to 24.5c, likely due to a market correction of prior mispricing, or the player failing to accumulate more cards in recent matches, falling behind the leaders. March 16, 2026 - March 17, 2026: Guéla Maho Lewis Doué's price surged from 48.5c to 73.5c, likely because the player received a red card or accumulated yellow cards in a recent Conference League match, establishing a significant lead on the disciplinary chart. March 14, 2026 - March 15, 2026: The market experienced a collective price hike, with most players moving uniformly from the 43c-44c range to around 48c, indicating a systemic anomaly in the pricing mechanism or a market maker adjustment. February 28, 2026: Early snapshots showed abnormal clustering in the 40c-43c range, setting the foundation for the current extreme pricing.