Explain the resolution criteria (ELI5) for compound words and multiple mentions (e.g., 'Mr. Speaker 30+ times') for this Keir Starmer PMQs market in the simplest terms.

AI-powered analysis for: Explain the resolution criteria (ELI5) for compound words and multiple mentions (e.g., 'Mr. Speaker 30+ times') for this Keir Starmer PMQs market in the simplest terms.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Search historical data from the past year to calculate how frequently Keir Starmer actually said 'Mr. Speaker' 10+, 20+, and 30+ times in a single PMQs.

AI-powered analysis for: Search historical data from the past year to calculate how frequently Keir Starmer actually said 'Mr. Speaker' 10+, 20+, and 30+ times in a single PMQs.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Check the official UK Parliament schedule to verify the exact date of the next PMQs, and assess the risk of capital lock-up or voiding if no event happens by May 31, 2026.

AI-powered analysis for: Check the official UK Parliament schedule to verify the exact date of the next PMQs, and assess the risk of capital lock-up or voiding if no event happens by May 31, 2026.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Search recent UK political news to summarize the most pressing current issues (like the NHS crisis or Ukraine aid) to gauge the likelihood of terms like 'NHS' or 'Ukraine' being mentioned.

AI-powered analysis for: Search recent UK political news to summarize the most pressing current issues (like the NHS crisis or Ukraine aid) to gauge the likelihood of terms like 'NHS' or 'Ukraine' being mentioned.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Based on the rule that 'only live broadcast remarks count', search community history for past disputes and rulings regarding muted audio, feed cuts, or mic failures during live broadcasts.

AI-powered analysis for: Based on the rule that 'only live broadcast remarks count', search community history for past disputes and rulings regarding muted audio, feed cuts, or mic failures during live broadcasts.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

List the Top 3 bearish arguments on why Keir Starmer might deliberately avoid using highly polarizing terms like 'U-Turn' or 'Trump' during the next PMQs.

AI-powered analysis for: List the Top 3 bearish arguments on why Keir Starmer might deliberately avoid using highly polarizing terms like 'U-Turn' or 'Trump' during the next PMQs.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Identify key figures (e.g., Shadow Cabinet members) participating in next Wednesday's PMQs and analyze how their question topics might prompt Starmer to say 'Energy' or 'Green'.

AI-powered analysis for: Identify key figures (e.g., Shadow Cabinet members) participating in next Wednesday's PMQs and analyze how their question topics might prompt Starmer to say 'Energy' or 'Green'.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Analyze whether Keir Starmer's speech vocabulary at PMQs is purely random or if there is a predictable underlying logic tied to the current political cycle.

AI-powered analysis for: Analyze whether Keir Starmer's speech vocabulary at PMQs is purely random or if there is a predictable underlying logic tied to the current political cycle.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Look for highly correlated options in this market (e.g., 'Public Health' and 'NHS', 'Oil' and 'Renewable') and suggest how to construct a combined hedging portfolio.

AI-powered analysis for: Look for highly correlated options in this market (e.g., 'Public Health' and 'NHS', 'Oil' and 'Renewable') and suggest how to construct a combined hedging portfolio.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

List potential news catalysts within the next 48 hours that would force Starmer to mention 'National Security' or 'Surveillance' during next Wednesday's PMQs.

AI-powered analysis for: List potential news catalysts within the next 48 hours that would force Starmer to mention 'National Security' or 'Surveillance' during next Wednesday's PMQs.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Analyze which specific high-frequency word 'No' options benefit more from time decay (Theta) if the news cycle remains quiet leading up to Wednesday's PMQs.

AI-powered analysis for: Analyze which specific high-frequency word 'No' options benefit more from time decay (Theta) if the news cycle remains quiet leading up to Wednesday's PMQs.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Summarize the core disagreements in the Polymarket comment section or Discord regarding whether certain compound words (e.g., phrases containing 'Energy') meet the resolution criteria.

AI-powered analysis for: Summarize the core disagreements in the Polymarket comment section or Discord regarding whether certain compound words (e.g., phrases containing 'Energy') meet the resolution criteria.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Evaluate whether there is FOMO sentiment in the community for betting on hot-button words (like 'Trump') and assess the risk of getting trapped by chasing the 'Yes' side at highs.

AI-powered analysis for: Evaluate whether there is FOMO sentiment in the community for betting on hot-button words (like 'Trump') and assess the risk of getting trapped by chasing the 'Yes' side at highs.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Logically project the extreme bottom support prices for domestic-focused words (like 'NHS' or 'Sport') if a major international breaking event (related to 'War') occurs before PMQs.

AI-powered analysis for: Logically project the extreme bottom support prices for domestic-focused words (like 'NHS' or 'Sport') if a major international breaking event (related to 'War') occurs before PMQs.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Compare odds with similar speech prediction markets lacking the 'live broadcast only' rule to judge if the current price discount is enough to offset potential resolution ruling risks.

AI-powered analysis for: Compare odds with similar speech prediction markets lacking the 'live broadcast only' rule to judge if the current price discount is enough to offset potential resolution ruling risks.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Based on the confidence level that Starmer will predictably say 'Mr. Speaker 10+ times' out of parliamentary courtesy, suggest a portfolio allocation percentage using the Kelly criterion.

AI-powered analysis for: Based on the confidence level that Starmer will predictably say 'Mr. Speaker 10+ times' out of parliamentary courtesy, suggest a portfolio allocation percentage using the Kelly criterion.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Provide guidance on placing extremely low bids (Stink Bids) in thin order books for niche words (like 'Tolerance' or 'Nuclear') to catch sudden panic selling.

AI-powered analysis for: Provide guidance on placing extremely low bids (Stink Bids) in thin order books for niche words (like 'Tolerance' or 'Nuclear') to catch sudden panic selling.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Recommend 3 high-quality Twitter accounts or political media sources dedicated to analyzing UK parliamentary proceedings or PMQs transcripts.

AI-powered analysis for: Recommend 3 high-quality Twitter accounts or political media sources dedicated to analyzing UK parliamentary proceedings or PMQs transcripts.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Synthesize Starmer's recent focuses to output a one-page trading plan, including the entry rationale for 'Europe' or 'Deeply Concerning', target prices, and invalidation conditions.

AI-powered analysis for: Synthesize Starmer's recent focuses to output a one-page trading plan, including the entry rationale for 'Europe' or 'Deeply Concerning', target prices, and invalidation conditions.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Suggest a strict stop-loss red line: for example, if it's officially announced that Starmer is canceling his PMQs appearance and a deputy will stand in, immediately close all 'Yes' positions.

AI-powered analysis for: Suggest a strict stop-loss red line: for example, if it's officially announced that Starmer is canceling his PMQs appearance and a deputy will stand in, immediately close all 'Yes' positions.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Mentions|$14.2k Vol|

1 days 10 hrs

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? - AI Found +15¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 5 hours ago

Top Undervalued

+15¢

Renewable(Yes)

+10.5¢

United States(No)

+6.5¢

Urgent(Yes)

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? AI analysis: • +15¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:

Under House of Commons rules, the Prime Minister is almost required to address the chair as 'Mr. Spe...

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All Outcomes

Market Price

AI Fair Value

Value Edge

Renewable

YesNo

20¢

80¢

35¢

65¢

+15¢

0¢

United States

YesNo

45.5¢

54.5¢

35¢

65¢

0¢

+10.5¢

Expand to view all 26 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.

Rule Risk

The risk lies in the precise matching rules for specific terms, including the acceptance of plurals/possessives while excluding other forms, and the inclusion of compound words (e.g., 'killjoy' counting as 'joy'). Additionally, only remarks made during the specifically named 'Prime Minister's Question Time' (and specifically the next one) that are broadcast live will count, excluding AI-generated content or statements from other events. These strict definitions could lead to resolution disputes.

Exotics

Predicting the exact usage frequency or occurrence of specific words by a leader in a routine parliamentary session is highly trivial and exotic. The general public does not typically think about or predict whether the PM will say 'Mr. Speaker' exactly a certain number of times or use specific common words.

Movers

April 16, 2026 - April 19, 2026, the prices of multiple core options such as 'Mr. Speaker 20+ times', 'Energy', 'War', and 'Labor 3+ times' surged (e.g., Mr. Speaker 20+ rose from 43.5c to 79.5c, Energy from 48c to 81.5c, War from 41.5c to 78.5c). The reason is that as the next PMQs approaches, market participants rapidly repriced the highly predictable parliamentary vocabulary and the most pressing macro/geopolitical issues in the UK, correcting earlier underestimations. April 16, 2026 - April 17, 2026, the price of 'Mr. Speaker 10+ times' surged from 65.5c to 97.9c. This was due to the market's realization that this is an absolute high-frequency standard parliamentary term, making it a near-certain event and triggering a massive influx of capital for value correction.