AI Signal Dashboard
Last updated: 04.07 03:40
Top Undervalued
+43.9¢
Los Angeles Rams(No)
+43.6¢
Cincinnati Bengals(No)
+42.1¢
Indianapolis Colts(No)
Where will David Njoku play in 2026-27? AI analysis: • +43.9¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.
Undervalued Options Insights:
The current market pricing is extremely irrational, with the sum of implied probabilities for the to...
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Outcomes
Market
Price
AI Fair
Value
Value
Edge
Los Angeles Rams
YesNo
44.85¢
55.15¢
1¢
99¢
0¢
+43.9¢
Cincinnati Bengals
YesNo
44.6¢
55.4¢
1¢
99¢
0¢
+43.6¢
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⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Rule Risk
Significant rule conflict exists. The title asks where he will play in 2026-27 and includes his current team (Cleveland Browns) as an option. However, the rules state if he does not join a '**new** team', it resolves to 'Other'. Literally interpreted, staying with the Browns (not joining a new team) would trigger 'Other' instead of 'Cleveland Browns', making the Browns option a potential trap.
Movers
April 4, 2026 - April 6, 2026, New England Patriots price surged from 15.3c to 47.1c, driven by extreme illiquidity and irrational speculative trading resulting in massive price distortion.
April 5, 2026 - April 6, 2026, Arizona Cardinals price spiked from 24c to 50c, similarly due to irrational market pricing and dried-up liquidity.
March 18, 2026 - March 21, 2026, New England Patriots price surged from 3.15c to 29.45c, driven by speculative buying after analysts and media outlets (e.g., Bleacher Report) identified them as a top potential landing spot.
March 17, 2026 - March 18, 2026, Baltimore Ravens price skyrocketed from 5.5c to 29c, triggered by reports from ESPN's Adam Schefter confirming Njoku officially visited the Ravens, marking the first concrete movement in his free agency.
Divergence
There is a severe mathematical divergence between market pricing and realistic probabilities. More than 15 teams in the current market have 'Yes' prices above 30c, and the sum of the implied probabilities of the top ten options exceeds 400%. In reality, a player can only sign with one team, so the total probability must rigorously equal 100%. This absurd premium indicates that the market has been completely distorted due to severe liquidity issues or the absence of market makers, completely detaching from the actual predictions of mainstream sports media (which typically focus on 2-3 realistic favorites).