AI Signal Dashboard
Last updated: 04.13 07:55
Top Undervalued
+0.5¢
Republican Party(No)
Arbitrage Opportunity
0¢
Arbitrage
0.009%
Annualized yield
Which party will win the Senate in 2026? AI analysis: • +0.5¢ undervalued • 0.009% arbitrage APY • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.
Arbitrage Plan:
Simultaneously buy No on 'Democratic Party' (44c) and No on 'Republican Party' (55.5c).
Plan Description:
Currently, buying No for the Democratic Party costs 44c, and buying No for the Republican Party cost...
🔓 Unlock Full Arb Plan (Pro)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The fair value for the 2026 Senate election is assessed at 56c for the Democratic Party and 44c for ...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
Real-time High Yield Opportunities
View MoreAll
Outcomes
Market
Price
AI Fair
Value
Value
Edge
Republican Party
YesNo
44.5¢
55.5¢
44¢
56¢
0¢
+0.5¢
Democratic Party
YesNo
56¢
44¢
56¢
44¢
0¢
0¢
⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Hedging
S&P 500
US 10Y Yield
Senate control directly dictates the feasibility of the President's legislative agenda (e.g., tax and spending bills). An unexpected result (e.g., breaking an expected gridlock for a single-party sweep) would significantly alter fiscal policy expectations, driving volatility in US Treasury yields and equities. Generally, markets prefer gridlock to avoid radical policy shifts; a sweep could trigger sharp repricing in specific sectors like energy, healthcare, or tech.