Which teams will make the NHL Playoffs?
Sports|$451.8k Vol|
time1 days 16 hrs

Which teams will make the NHL Playoffs? - AI Mispricing Alert

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Last updated: 7 hours ago
Top Undervalued

Which teams will make the NHL Playoffs? AI analysis: Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
With only two days left in the regular season, current market prices accurately reflect the mathemat...
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Will gas hit __ by end of April?
Economy|$285.9k Vol|
time15 days 16 hrs

Will gas hit __ by end of April?

Top Undervalued
+0.5¢
↓ $3.95(Yes)
+0.5¢
↓ $3.85(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The market maintains a relatively high expectation (around 65%) that the US national average gas pri...
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Hedging
Crude Oil
The US average gasoline price is highly correlated with crude oil prices. If gas prices hit extreme highs (like $4.50 or $5.00), it typically indicates a significant supply shock or demand surge in the crude oil market, making this a direct tool for hedging against crude oil price volatility.
Movers
April 11, 2026 - April 13, 2026, the price of the ↑ $4.25 option surged from 45c to 65.5c. The reason is that as the situation in the Middle East evolves, market concerns about crude oil supply disruptions have intensified, driving up expectations for short-term gas price increases. April 5, 2026 - April 6, 2026, the price of the ↓ $3.85 option surged from 9c to 30.5c, likely due to rumors of potential US government intervention (such as releasing the Strategic Petroleum Reserve) or signals of a temporary de-escalation in the Middle East, prompting some capital to bet on a short-term pullback in gas prices. March 28, 2026 - March 31, 2026, due to the sharp escalation of the Iran conflict disrupting global crude supply chains, and AAA reporting the national average gas price crossing $4 for the first time since 2022, the prices for the ↑ $4.05 and ↑ $4.15 options surged by more than 15c.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 15?
Weather|$53.6k Vol|
time1 days 4 hrs

Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 15?

Top Undervalued
+33.3¢
22°C(Yes)
+26¢
20°C(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The latest weather forecasts indicate that the highest temperature for Tokyo Haneda Airport (RJTT) o...
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Rule Risk
The rules mention using the 'Forecast' from Wunderground but provide a link to the 'History' page, which could cause literal ambiguity regarding the resolution criteria. Additionally, occasional missing data on the weather platform or the integer rounding rules when converting from Fahrenheit to Celsius might lead to edge-case disputes.
Movers
April 13, 2026 - April 13, 2026, the price of '24°C or higher' plummeted from 45c to 7.5c. The reason is that as the target date approaches, the latest weather forecasts clearly indicate a high of around 21-22°C, largely ruling out the possibility of an extreme high of 24°C or above.
AI Analysis
Ella Langley 'Dandelion' First Week Album Sales?
Culture|$21.1k Vol|
time2 days 16 hrs

Ella Langley 'Dandelion' First Week Album Sales?

Top Undervalued
+6.3¢
140k+(No)
+5.1¢
120k-140k(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The sum of all Yes prices is currently around 101.7%, indicating a very tight market premium. With t...
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Exotics
Predicting the debut week sales of a specific artist is a relatively standard pop culture/entertainment market. It has a dedicated niche audience of chart watchers and music industry trackers, but isn't universally followed like elections or macroeconomics, making it moderately niche.
Movers
April 12, 2026 - April 13, 2026, the price of the '140k+' option surged from 72.5c to 90c, while the '120k-140k' option plummeted from 18c to 6.5c. This occurred because early tracking data for the album's first weekend (such as Hits Daily Double projections) further confirmed expectations that sales would significantly exceed 140,000 units, leading the market to price in this outcome almost entirely. April 10, 2026 - April 12, 2026, the price of the '140k+' option surged from 53.5c to 76c, driven by early data performance following the album's official release exceeding expectations, leading to heavy betting that debut week sales will surpass 140k. April 10, 2026 - April 12, 2026, the '120k-140k' option dropped from 35.5c to 15c, and the '100k-120k' option fell from 28c to 7c, as market confidence shifted to the highest sales bracket, ruling out lower ranges. April 8, 2026 - April 11, 2026, the price of the '140k+' option surged from 45c to 67c, while the '120k-140k' option dropped from 44.5c to 22.5c. This was driven by recent streaming data and early projections elevating sales expectations as the album release approached, causing capital to heavily concentrate in the highest bracket. April 8, 2026 - April 10, 2026, the price of the '80k-100k' option plummeted from 35.5c to 18c, and '100k-120k' fell from 41c to 31c. The reason is a significant upward shift in debut week sales expectations, causing capital to rotate into higher brackets (>120k), alongside a gradual correction of market overpricing.
AI Analysis
Trump announces tariff for Iran military cooperation by April 17?
Economy|$55.5k Vol|
time2 days 16 hrs

Trump announces tariff for Iran military cooperation by April 17?

Top Undervalued
+0.5¢
(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
With only about 3 days left until expiration, and Trump having already announced a blanket 50% tarif...
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Rule Risk
The primary risk lies in defining the motive behind the tariff. If the official announcement does not explicitly state 'military cooperation with Iran' as the reason, the market must rely on a 'consensus of credible reporting', which is highly prone to disputes during resolution.
Hedging
Crude Oil
Tariffs on countries assisting Iran militarily would not only escalate trade frictions (potentially impacting the S&P 500 if targeting major economies) but also highlight escalating Middle East geopolitical risks. This would directly drive up crude oil prices and boost demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
AI Analysis
⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Movers
April 13, 2026 - April 14, 2026, Washington Capitals price surged from 13.05c to 22c, as the team secured a crucial late-season victory, keeping their wild-card hopes alive. April 13, 2026 - April 14, 2026, Philadelphia Flyers price dropped from 82.5c to 66c, due to a late-season loss that reopened the door for their Eastern Conference rivals. April 12, 2026 - April 13, 2026, Columbus Blue Jackets price collapsed from 26.5c to 4.95c, as a critical late-season loss severely diminished their playoff probabilities. April 12, 2026 - April 13, 2026, Nashville Predators price surged from 12.5c to 29.5c, as rivals dropping points renewed their hopes of securing a wild card spot. April 12, 2026 - April 13, 2026, Anaheim Ducks price dropped from 97.85c to 86.2c, likely because they failed to clinch early, leaving their fate to be decided in the final stretch. April 10, 2026 - April 13, 2026, Philadelphia Flyers price surged from 43c to 81c before stabilizing at 77.5c, driven by key victories that solidified their standing in the East. April 10, 2026 - April 13, 2026, Los Angeles Kings price climbed from 73.5c to a peak of 90c before settling at 88c, after securing vital points in the Western Conference. April 10, 2026 - April 13, 2026, Winnipeg Jets price collapsed from 17.5c to 1c, as recent losses effectively eliminated them from contention mathematically. April 10, 2026 - April 13, 2026, New York Islanders price collapsed from 44.5c to nearly 0c as they lost critical games and were effectively eliminated from the wild card race. April 9, 2026 - April 12, 2026, Los Angeles Kings price surged from 62c to a peak of 90c before retracing and then rising to 86c, as the team secured crucial points in the Western Conference Wild Card race before standings adjustments corrected the probability, though recent wins solidified their hopes again. April 9, 2026 - April 12, 2026, New York Islanders price experienced severe volatility, rising from 15.5c to 44.5c before plunging to 1.15c and slightly rebounding to 5.6c, due to critical losses that eliminated their control of the wild card race. April 9, 2026 - April 12, 2026, Philadelphia Flyers price dipped from 66.5c to 42c before rebounding strongly to 79.5c and settling at 68c, solidifying their standing with consecutive wins in the Eastern playoff race after initial struggles. April 9, 2026 - April 12, 2026, Nashville Predators price plunged from 39c to around 13.5c, as rivals secured consecutive wins while they fell significantly behind. April 9, 2026 - April 12, 2026, San Jose Sharks price plummeted from 19.5c to near 0c, as consecutive losses mathematically eliminated them from contention. April 9, 2026 - April 12, 2026, Columbus Blue Jackets price dropped sharply from 29.5c to 4c before rebounding to around 18c, driven by mixed results in bubble matchups causing severe market expectation swings. April 9, 2026 - April 12, 2026, Anaheim Ducks price rose steadily from 83.95c to over 98c, having secured the necessary points to clinch a playoff berth. April 9, 2026 - April 11, 2026, Ottawa Senators price surged from 83.5c to 98.25c before settling around 92c, driven by consecutive wins in the final stretch to solidify their standings. April 8, 2026 - April 11, 2026, Boston Bruins price surged from 87.85c to 99.05c, driven by winning a crucial matchup that confirmed their advancement. April 7, 2026 - April 9, 2026, Utah Mammoth price dropped from 95.85c to 85.6c, as a late regular-season loss introduced uncertainty into their standings, leading the market to downgrade their qualification probability. March 30, 2026 - April 2, 2026, Pittsburgh Penguins price surged from 69.15c to 93.65c, as a recent winning streak significantly boosted their qualification chances. March 14, 2026 - March 20, 2026, Columbus Blue Jackets price surged from 57c to 74c, driven by a winning streak that pushed their model-projected playoff probability above 80%.

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