[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Visit the Polymarket page for 'UFC Light Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026' to analyze the bid-ask spread and liquidity depth given the low volume ($3644); simultaneously, cross-reference with UFC.com to confirm the current belt holder and assess if the odds accurately reflect the reigning champion's dominance versus top contenders like Ankalaev or Pereira.

AI-powered analysis for: [Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Visit the Polymarket page for 'UFC Light Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026' to analyze the bid-ask spread and liquidity depth given the low volume ($3644); simultaneously, cross-reference with UFC.com to confirm the current belt holder and assess if the odds accurately reflect the reigning champion's dominance versus top contenders like Ankalaev or Pereira.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

[Sports] Key Variables Confirmation (Schedule & Injury): Search the official UFC 2026 fight schedule and MMA medical suspension reports to confirm if the current champion or top contenders (e.g., Jiří Procházka, Jamahal Hill) have title defenses booked before December 31, and check for long-term injuries that could lead to a 'Vacant' belt scenario or inability to compete by year-end.

AI-powered analysis for: [Sports] Key Variables Confirmation (Schedule & Injury): Search the official UFC 2026 fight schedule and MMA medical suspension reports to confirm if the current champion or top contenders (e.g., Jiří Procházka, Jamahal Hill) have title defenses booked before December 31, and check for long-term injuries that could lead to a 'Vacant' belt scenario or inability to compete by year-end.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

[Opportunity Cost] Capital Lock-up & Return Calculation: Given the resolution date of December 31, 2026, calculate if the implied ROI at current odds justifies locking capital for 10 months compared to the risk-free opportunity cost of DeFi stablecoin yields (approx. 5-10% APY); assess if the risk-reward ratio is viable for this long-duration, low-liquidity bet considering the risk of a 'Vacant' (Other) outcome.

AI-powered analysis for: [Opportunity Cost] Capital Lock-up & Return Calculation: Given the resolution date of December 31, 2026, calculate if the implied ROI at current odds justifies locking capital for 10 months compared to the risk-free opportunity cost of DeFi stablecoin yields (approx. 5-10% APY); assess if the risk-reward ratio is viable for this long-duration, low-liquidity bet considering the risk of a 'Vacant' (Other) outcome.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Who will be UFC Light Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?

Sports|$16.7k Vol|

260 days 5 hrs

Who will be UFC Light Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026? - AI Found +24.6¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 04.01 15:35

Top Undervalued

+24.6¢

Jiří Procházka(Yes)

+23¢

Bogdan Guskov(No)

+22.5¢

Carlos Ulberg(No)

Who will be UFC Light Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026? AI analysis: • +24.6¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:

The market has significantly corrected from its previous extreme irrational premium of 183%, with th...

🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)

All Outcomes

Market Price

AI Fair Value

Value Edge

Jiří Procházka

YesNo

5.35¢

94.65¢

30¢

70¢

+24.6¢

0¢

Bogdan Guskov

YesNo

25¢

75¢

2¢

98¢

0¢

+23¢

Expand to view all 11 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.

Movers

March 25, 2026 - March 31, 2026, the prices of Magomed Ankalaev, Jamahal Hill, and Khalil Rountree Jr. crashed entirely (e.g., Ankalaev from 23.9c to 4.5c, Hill from 20.9c to <1c). This was likely due to critical UFC title eliminator bouts taking place or major injury announcements, effectively eliminating them from the late-2026 title picture. March 10, 2026 - March 12, 2026, the market entered a consolidation phase with no daily moves exceeding 10c. Jiří Procházka held steady around 35c, and Alex Pereira stabilized at a low 13c. This suggests the market fully priced in the major breaking news from late February. Feb 27, 2026 - Feb 28, 2026, Jiří Procházka (+6.5c) and Magomed Ankalaev (+11.8c) experienced massive surges while Alex Pereira crashed (-11.5c), establishing the current chaotic 'post-Pereira' market structure.