Who will Justin Bieber feature at Coachella?
Culture|$122.0k Vol|
time4 days 20 hrs

Who will Justin Bieber feature at Coachella? - AI Found 3175.5% APY

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 04.13 22:57
Top Undervalued
+44.6¢
Frank Ocean(No)
Arbitrage Opportunity
43¢
Arbitrage
3175.5%
Annualized yield

Who will Justin Bieber feature at Coachella? AI analysis: • +44.6¢ undervalued • 3175.5% arbitrage APY • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Arbitrage Plan:
Buy 'No' shares for Frank Ocean, Billie Eilish, Post Malone, and The Weeknd. Plan Description: This is a very low-risk soft arbitrage. Since Weekend 1 already revealed Bieber's stage design exclu...
🔓 Unlock Full Arb Plan (Pro)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on Justin Bieber's actual Weekend 1 Coachella performance on April 11, 2026, his set was highl...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)

Real-time High Yield Opportunities

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Xi Jinping out by June 30?
Geopolitics|$1.8m Vol|
time76 days 20 hrs

Xi Jinping out by June 30?

Top Undervalued
+0.9¢
(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
As of April 14, 2026, with about 76 days remaining until the June 30 expiration, there are no signs ...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
Hedging
FXI
HSI
Gold
S&P 500
Crude Oil
If the outcome is 'Yes' (a power transition occurs), it would be the biggest political black swan event in China in decades. The Hang Seng Index (HSI) and China-related ETFs (like FXI) would face extreme volatility (potentially crashing or surging on reform hopes, depending on context, but the shock would be massive). Global markets (S&P 500) would likely drop due to uncertainty, while safe-haven assets (Gold) could spike. This is a classic macro hedging event.
AI Analysis
[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Visit the Polymarket page for this event to analyze the structure of the $1.4M trading volume and the current bid-ask spread. Combined with the recent CCP political schedule and geopolitical dynamics, assess whether the current odds reasonably reflect the probability of a 'black swan' event, or if they merely represent a liquidity discount for the long-term capital lock-up.
Minnesota Republican Senate Primary Winner
Politics|$77.3k Vol|
time118 days 20 hrs

Minnesota Republican Senate Primary Winner

Top Undervalued
+2.1¢
Mike Ruoho(No)
+2¢
Christopher Brooks(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Michele Tafoya's lead remains unshakeable, stabilizing around 78c, indicating broad support from the...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
AI Analysis
[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Assessment: Access the Polymarket page for "Minnesota Republican Senate Primary Winner," analyze the bid-ask spread and depth for frontrunners like Royce White and Julia Coleman, and update the fair value assessment based on the latest campaign statuses (e.g., dropouts).
MO-01 House Election Winner
Politics|$11.6k Vol|
time202 days 20 hrs

MO-01 House Election Winner

Top Undervalued
+5¢
Republican Party(No)
+4.5¢
Democratic Party(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Missouri's 1st Congressional District (MO-01) is a Solid Democratic stronghold with a Cook PVI of D+...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
AI Analysis
[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Visit the Polymarket page for the MO-01 election. Given the extremely low volume ($413), analyze the bid-ask spread and depth of the Order Book. Assess whether the 'Democratic Party' option is mispriced due to illiquidity (e.g., priced significantly lower than its win probability in this deep blue district) and evaluate the risks of slippage or getting trapped in a zombie market.
South Korea Annual Inflation 2026
Economy|$10.4k Vol|
time260 days 20 hrs

South Korea Annual Inflation 2026

Top Undervalued
+32¢
3.0%+(No)
+27.1¢
2.1% to 2.3%(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The sum of 'Yes' prices across all options is nearly 177%, indicating a highly inefficient, irration...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
Hedging
EWY
South Korean CPI data directly influences the Bank of Korea's (BOK) monetary policy. An unexpected deviation from inflation forecasts would trigger volatility in the Korean Won and significantly impact South Korean equities (e.g., EWY ETF). While the global impact on assets like the S&P 500 is negligible, it is a tradable event for investors focused on regional Asian markets or the semiconductor supply chain.
Divergence
The implied probability distribution is highly anomalous with the sum of Yes prices far exceeding 100%. This indicates extremely poor market liquidity or severe algorithmic market maker errors, rather than reflecting true mainstream economic consensus (which expects inflation to stabilize around 2%).
AI Analysis
[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Given the extremely low volume ($426) in this market, critically examine the bid-ask spread and order depth on Polymarket. Compare the implied probabilities against the Bank of Korea's (BOK) latest 2026 inflation forecasts to determine if illiquidity has created mispricing opportunities.
Tabi FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Crypto|$34.5k Vol|
time262 days 1 hrs

Tabi FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Top Undervalued
+10¢
$3B(No)
+2¢
$500M(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
As of mid-April 2026, with about 8.5 months remaining until the hard deadline of Dec 31, 2026, marke...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
Rule Risk
Moderate rule risk exists. 1. 'Launch' Definition: The requirement for the token to be 'actively, publicly transferable and tradable' could be contentious if Tabi only launches on a DEX with low liquidity or enables transfers without a major CEX listing. 2. FDV Calculation: FDV is defined as Total Supply * Price. As a Cosmos-based chain, Tabi may have an inflationary model where 'Total Supply' differs from 'Max Supply', or ambiguity between genesis supply and future emissions, which could affect the final calculation.
AI Analysis
[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Retrieve the latest order book depth and spreads for Tabi FDV options ($500M/$1B/$3B) on Polymarket, combined with community activity on Tabi's official Twitter and Discord, to update the assessment of launch probability and fair valuation ranges.
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
Frank Ocean
YesNo
45.55¢
54.45¢
1¢
99¢
0¢
+44.6¢
Billie Eilish
YesNo
41.5¢
58.5¢
1¢
99¢
0¢
+40.5¢

Expand to view all 20 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Movers
April 12, 2026 - April 13, 2026, Frank Ocean's price plummeted from 47c to 3.6c, then rebounded to 42.55c. This was caused by extreme illiquidity; after news broke that he didn't appear Weekend 1, the price crashed but was mechanically pulled back up due to sparse order books. April 12, 2026 - April 13, 2026, Billie Eilish's price fluctuated wildly between 32.5c and 48c, showing extremely high volatility. April 12, 2026 - April 13, 2026, Travis Scott's price experienced violent fluctuations, plummeting from 41.5c to 13.15c, surging to 62.35c, plummeting again to 5.5c, and finally rebounding to 19.95c, due to a highly illiquid order book being swept in both directions by market orders. April 12, 2026 - April 13, 2026, Usher's price surged from 35c to 85c and then crashed to 11c, driven by market buy orders and thin liquidity. April 10, 2026 - April 13, 2026, Snoop Dogg's price plummeted from 50c to 12.5c, rebounded to 41c, and finally fell to 4.5c, indicating extreme volatility driven by small orders in a very thin market.
Divergence
There is a severe divergence. Market prices imply a 30-40% probability for stars like Frank Ocean and Billie Eilish to appear. However, mainstream media (e.g., Vulture, Business Insider) extensively covered Bieber's Weekend 1 performance on April 11, noting it was a low-energy, nostalgic set featuring only niche collaborators like Dijon and Mk.gee, deliberately eschewing A-list guest appearances. The market pricing is completely disconnected from the established facts of the Weekend 1 set.

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