Who will win the Legend Trade Series?
Esports|$128.7k Vol|
time1 days 16 hrs

Who will win the Legend Trade Series? - AI Mispricing Alert

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Last updated: 1 hours ago
Top Undervalued
+4.2¢
Trevor(No)
+2.3¢
Jim Parillo(No)
+2¢
Jadoodoo(Yes)

Who will win the Legend Trade Series? AI analysis: • +4.2¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
The prices of all Yes options are extremely close, ranging from 8c to 16c, with the sum of implied p...
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Real-time High Yield Opportunities

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Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
World|$920.8k Vol|
time168 days 16 hrs

Russia Parliamentary Election Winner

Top Undervalued
+2.7¢
United Russia (ER)(Yes)
Arbitrage Opportunity
4¢
Arbitrage
8.4%
Annualized yield
Arbitrage|Low Risk
Arbitrage Plan: Buy Yes shares of United Russia (ER) at 96.25c. Plan Description: In the Russian political environment, the probability of United Russia losing the State Duma electio...
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Undervalued Options Insights:
Given Russia's current authoritarian political system, a victory for United Russia is structurally g...
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Hedging
RSX
Given the tight grip on power by Putin and United Russia, the status quo is widely expected to persist, meaning the election outcome is likely already priced in with little potential for market disruption. However, in the extremely low-probability 'black swan' scenario of an opposition upset or significant unrest, there would be a major shock to Russia-linked assets (like the RSX ETF, if tradable) and potential spillover into Crude Oil and Gold via geopolitical risk premiums. Under normal expectations, the impact on global broad assets is negligible.
AI Analysis
Berlin State Election Winner
Politics|$2.6m Vol|
time158 days 16 hrs

Berlin State Election Winner

Top Undervalued
+0.5¢
BSW(Yes)
+0.5¢
Linke(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Current polls show the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) maintaining around 23% support in Berlin, le...
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AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 15?
Weather|$11.7k Vol|
time1 days 4 hrs

Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 15?

Top Undervalued
+16.9¢
21°C or below(No)
+5.5¢
24°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest weather forecasts, the high temperature in Wuhan (Tianhe International Airpo...
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Exotics
Moderately exotic. While betting on the daily high temperature of a specific city is a niche market, weather prediction is a common daily derivative format in prediction markets and is not entirely bizarre.
Divergence
Current meteorological models (such as AccuWeather) forecast a high of around 22°C for April 15. However, the market assigns the highest probability to 23°C (34c) and 24°C (23c). This suggests that traders anticipate the actual recorded temperature will slightly exceed the mainstream forecasted values, creating a moderate divergence.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 15?
Weather|$48.5k Vol|
time1 days 4 hrs

Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 15?

Top Undervalued
+28¢
15°C or higher(No)
+15.9¢
14°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Recent weather forecasts indicate that the highest temperature in Warsaw on April 15, 2026, is expec...
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Exotics
This is a prediction about the high temperature in a specific city on a specific date. While weather forecasting is a common daily activity, setting up a specific short-term prediction market for an exact degree in Warsaw is a relatively niche and specific market.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
Trevor
YesNo
17.2¢
82.8¢
13¢
87¢
+4.2¢
Jim Parillo
YesNo
17.3¢
82.7¢
15¢
85¢
+2.3¢

Expand to view all 8 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Exotics
This is a KOL trading competition hosted by a specific platform (Legend Trade). While it garners some attention within crypto and trading circles, it is quite niche and obscure to the general public.
Movers
April 12, 2026 - April 14, 2026, the competition entered its most chaotic sprint phase, with almost all candidates experiencing extreme rollercoaster price fluctuations. MINHxDYNASTY, Jadoodoo, Elisa, Trevor, Kurt, Madz, Jim Parillo, and Prodzy all saw their prices briefly spike to the 34c-40c range during this period, before crashing back down to the 8c-16c range. This was caused by the frequent swapping of the lead on the live PnL leaderboard as the trading competition neared its end, where any successful trade or liquidation triggered a sharp reversal in market sentiment. April 13, 2026, the competition reached an extreme fever pitch, with severe price fluctuations across multiple competitors. Prodzy surged from 5.7c to 17.15c to reclaim the lead; Elisa plummeted from 26.45c to 12.85c, losing her advantage; Madz rebounded from 3.15c to 12.9c, and Kurt bounced back from under 1c to 9.7c. This was caused by the final sprint of the competition, where minor shifts on the live leaderboard or successful trading strategies led to rapid reversals in market sentiment. April 12, 2026 - April 13, 2026, the competition reached a fever pitch with extreme reversals on the live trading leaderboard. Elisa's price skyrocketed from under 1c (0.45c) to 24.6c, taking the lead. Meanwhile, Trevor plummeted from 40.2c to 12.3c, Prodzy crashed from 36.8c to 5.5c, MINHxDYNASTY dropped from 38c to 14.5c, and Jim Parillo and Kurt both fell sharply from highs above 37c. April 11, 2026 - April 12, 2026, almost all options experienced wild swings again. Trevor skyrocketed from 0.25c to 40.2c before settling at 32c, Prodzy surged from 0.75c to 36.8c, Jadoodoo spiked from 12.5c to 34.5c, and Kurt jumped from 0.4c to 36.7c. This was due to the competition entering its final sprint, where frequent live leaderboard swaps caused extreme market sentiment instability. April 9, 2026 - April 11, 2026, Jim Parillo's price surged from 8c to 29c before falling back to 8c, and Prodzy's price spiked from 17.5c to 28c before dropping to 13.5c. Meanwhile, Elisa's price plummeted from 19.5c to 7.5c. This extreme volatility was likely driven by live leaderboard updates during the competition where Jim and Prodzy temporarily took the lead, but their edge was later erased. April 6, 2026 - April 7, 2026, Madz's price spiked from 10c to 26.5c, and Elisa's price surged from 15.5c to 25c. This was likely due to a periodic leaderboard update where both traders showed standout performance. However, by April 8, both prices corrected downward, indicating that other competitors closed the gap or market sentiment cooled.

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