April 9, 2026 - April 12, 2026, the 'May 31, 2026' option price fell from 56c to 46c, and the 'April 30, 2026' option price plummeted from 13c to 5.5c. The reason is that as mid-April approaches without concrete TGE announcements from MegaETH, market expectations for an early-to-mid Q2 launch have rapidly cooled, with capital rotating into later dates. April 2, 2026 - April 5, 2026, the 'September 30, 2026' option price surged from 78c to 92.5c, the 'December 31, 2026' option surged from 80.7c to 95.8c, and the 'June 30, 2026' option rose from 69c to 78.5c. The reason is that as April began, the market likely picked up early signals or community rumors related to MegaETH's mainnet launch or token generation, leading to a massive rebound in confidence for a launch this year, particularly by mid-year. March 28, 2026 - March 30, 2026, the 'September 30, 2026' option price plummeted from 85c to 56c (then bounced to 64.5c), 'December 31, 2026' dropped from 83.25c to 68.9c, and 'April 30, 2026' fell from 32c to 17c. The reason is that as March ends without substantive progress updates from the team, overall market expectations for a token launch this year or in the near term have cooled, leading capital to reassess MegaETH's development and launch timeline. March 19, 2026 - March 23, 2026, the 'June 30, 2026' option price dropped from 69c to 59c because, as March closes, the market has not observed the surge in on-chain activity or community incentive announcements that typically precede a token launch. This caused investors to lose confidence in Q2, selling near-term contracts potentially to rotate into longer-dated ones. March 14, 2026 - March 16, 2026, the 'June 30, 2026' option price recovered mildly from 69.5c to 73c as panic subsided and capital re-accumulated on Q2 as the most likely TGE window, correcting the overselling caused by the Q1 miss. March 7, 2026 - March 9, 2026, the price of 'September 30, 2026' retreated from 91c to 82.5c, and 'June 30, 2026' dropped from 76.5c to 67c because the definitive collapse of Q1 expectations hit market sentiment, causing a general correction in forward contract valuations. February 27, 2026 - March 2, 2026, the 'March 31, 2026' option plummeted from 24c to 13c as the onset of March without announcements caused near-term launch hopes to evaporate due to time decay.