AI Signal Dashboard
Last updated: 04.13 07:57
Top Undervalued
+2.2¢
<8m(Yes)
+1.5¢
8-9m(No)
"You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office AI analysis: Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.
Undervalued Options Insights:
As Monday's actual box office figures are about to be released, the market is extremely confident th...
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Outcomes
Market
Price
AI Fair
Value
Value
Edge
<8m
YesNo
92.8¢
7.2¢
95¢
5¢
+2.2¢
0¢
8-9m
YesNo
6.5¢
93.5¢
5¢
95¢
0¢
+1.5¢
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⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Movers
April 12, 2026 - April 13, 2026, the <8m option surged from 53.45c to 94.55c, while the 8-9m option crashed from 46.5c to 6c. This was driven by increasing certainty as the weekend concluded that the exact $8.0M Sunday estimate will be revised downwards in Monday's actuals, pushing the final gross below the $8 million mark.
April 12, 2026 - April 12, 2026, the <8m option surged further from 56c to 82c, while the 8-9m option crashed from 44c to 17.5c. This was driven by Sunday's studio estimates placing the weekend box office at exactly $8.0 million. The market strongly expects the actuals reported on Monday to be revised downwards.
April 11, 2026 - April 12, 2026, the 8-9m option crashed from 75c to 38.5c before rebounding to 56.5c, while the <8m option surged from 27.6c to 52.95c before settling at 42.75c. This was driven by Saturday evening estimates showing slightly weaker legs, suggesting the final tally will hover dangerously close to the $8 million threshold, triggering extreme volatility.
April 10, 2026 - April 11, 2026, the 8-9m option price further surged from approx 59.5c to 75c, while the 9-10m option crashed from 34.5c to 6.5c, and the <8m option dropped from a peak of 56c down to approx 17.5c. This was driven by real-time Saturday projections stabilizing the weekend estimate firmly in the $8M-$9M range.
April 10, 2026 - April 11, 2026, the 8-9m option surged from 27c to a peak of 63c before stabilizing around 55c, while the <8m option crashed from 56c down to approx 22c. This was driven by better-than-feared Friday opening day estimates.
April 10, 2026 - April 10, 2026, the <8m option dropped significantly from 56c to approx 34.6c, while the 8-9m option surged from 27c to 45c. This was driven by Friday's early estimates coming in slightly better than the extremely pessimistic Thursday preview numbers.
April 9, 2026 - April 10, 2026, as the film officially opened, the market experienced a sharp reversal. The <8m option surged from 25.8c to 56c, while the 9-10m option crashed from 34.5c to 12c, indicating extremely weak Thursday preview numbers.
April 8, 2026 - April 10, 2026, as the release date approached and pre-sale data updated, expectations swung wildly. The 8-9m option crashed from 48c to 18.5c on April 9 before rebounding; the 9-10m option surged from 16c to 33.5c on the same day. This reflects the volatility of early preview data.
April 6, 2026 - April 8, 2026, prices for all options experienced severe volatility due to the initial AMM liquidity pool distributing prices uniformly around 40c, which were subsequently corrected by real traders.