AI Signal Dashboard
Last updated: 04.14 18:07
Top Undervalued
+20.5¢
125-130m(No)
+9¢
115-120m(Yes)
+8¢
120-125m(Yes)
2026 Midterms: House Turnout AI analysis: • +20.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.
Undervalued Options Insights:
Given the context of a 'Six-year itch' midterm election in 2026, historical precedents (like 2018 an...
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Outcomes
Market
Price
AI Fair
Value
Value
Edge
125-130m
YesNo
27.5¢
72.5¢
7¢
93¢
0¢
+20.5¢
115-120m
YesNo
23¢
77¢
32¢
68¢
+9¢
0¢
Expand to view all 11 options
⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Movers
April 11, 2026 - April 14, 2026: The price for '125-130m' surged from 15.5c to 27.5c, indicating a shift in capital towards higher turnout brackets.
March 8, 2026 - March 11, 2026: While outside the immediate 3-day window, a massive correction occurred during this period. Prices for '100-105m' crashed from 24.5c to 12c, '90-95m' from 23c to 10.5c, and '130m+' from 22c to 11c. This indicates the market is attempting to correct from extreme irrationality (universal overpricing), although the aggregate premium remains remarkably high.
Divergence
The aggregate sum of Yes prices is at an irrational 137%, indicating a severely inefficient market with massive premium bloat. Furthermore, the market assigns over a 20% combined probability to brackets below 100m. This sharply diverges from demographic and historical trends, as the past two midterms easily exceeded this threshold. Mainstream political consensus suggests that due to hyper-polarization and natural population growth, a sub-100m turnout is highly improbable.