[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Retrieve the latest real-time price and forward curve (Contango/Backwardation structure) of CME WTI Crude Oil futures (CL), compare them with the odds distribution and order book depth for various strike prices (e.g., $80, $50) on Polymarket, and analyze whether the current prediction market pricing fully reflects the supply-demand fundamentals and geopolitical risk premiums of the oil market.

AI-powered analysis for: [Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Retrieve the latest real-time price and forward curve (Contango/Backwardation structure) of CME WTI Crude Oil futures (CL), compare them with the odds distribution and order book depth for various strike prices (e.g., $80, $50) on Polymarket, and analyze whether the current prediction market pricing fully reflects the supply-demand fundamentals and geopolitical risk premiums of the oil market.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

[Category 1: Rule Pitfall] Active Month Rollover Timeline Check: Search the official CME WTI Crude Oil futures expiration calendar to precisely mark the specific dates of every "Active Month" changeover between now and June 2026 (especially the switch point two business days prior to expiration), to prevent misjudgment caused by price gaps during contract rollovers.

AI-powered analysis for: [Category 1: Rule Pitfall] Active Month Rollover Timeline Check: Search the official CME WTI Crude Oil futures expiration calendar to precisely mark the specific dates of every "Active Month" changeover between now and June 2026 (especially the switch point two business days prior to expiration), to prevent misjudgment caused by price gaps during contract rollovers.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

[Category 2: Analysis & Reasoning] Potential Catalyst Prediction: Based on the current macroeconomic environment, identify key events within the next 4 months that could cause significant oil price volatility, such as OPEC+ ministerial decisions, Federal Reserve rate decisions, or geopolitical escalations in the Middle East, and analyze whether these factors have enough momentum to drive oil prices to hit extreme strike prices (e.g., $90 or $40).

AI-powered analysis for: [Category 2: Analysis & Reasoning] Potential Catalyst Prediction: Based on the current macroeconomic environment, identify key events within the next 4 months that could cause significant oil price volatility, such as OPEC+ ministerial decisions, Federal Reserve rate decisions, or geopolitical escalations in the Middle East, and analyze whether these factors have enough momentum to drive oil prices to hit extreme strike prices (e.g., $90 or $40).. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?

Commodities|$9.7m Vol|

77 days 10 hrs

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June? - AI Found +12.5¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 04.13 17:52

Top Undervalued

+12.5¢

↑ $120(Yes)

+11.3¢

↑ $115(Yes)

+11¢

↑ $130(Yes)

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June? AI analysis: • +12.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:

As of April 13, bullish sentiment in the crude oil market continued to dominate. The probability of ...

🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)

All Outcomes

Market Price

AI Fair Value

Value Edge

↑ $120

YesNo

47.5¢

52.5¢

60¢

40¢

+12.5¢

0¢

↑ $115

YesNo

58.65¢

41.35¢

70¢

30¢

+11.3¢

0¢

Expand to view all 18 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.

Hedging

Crude Oil

This market directly tracks Crude Oil prices, serving as a direct hedge for energy portfolios (Score 5). Significant oil price movements typically impact inflation expectations, thereby affecting US 10Y Yields, and act as a macro cost factor that can cause minor to moderate inverse movements or sector divergence in the S&P 500.

Movers

April 12, 2026 - April 13, 2026, the price of [↓ $80] plummeted from 59c to 47.5c, as bullish sentiment in crude oil continued to dominate the market and downside risk expectations weakened. April 11, 2026 - April 12, 2026, the price of [↑ $140] surged from 21.5c to 34.5c, as bullish sentiment erupted once again and market expectations for a spot upside breakout strengthened significantly after a brief consolidation. April 8, 2026 - April 11, 2026, after the downside panic eased, the crude oil market saw a slight bearish recovery. The price of [↓ $80] rebounded from 53c to 58c, and [↓ $70] from 26c to 32c; meanwhile, [↑ $115] retreated from 62.45c to 56.1c, as the spot market met resistance after a short-term rebound and bearish sentiment partially regained dominance. April 7, 2026 - April 8, 2026, the crude oil market experienced a violent reversal. The price of [↑ $115] plummeted from 91.5c to 50c, [↑ $120] crashed from 84.5c to 46.5c, while [↓ $80] surged from 48c to 70c, as the extreme bullish sentiment bubble burst, likely due to geopolitical cooling or spot pullbacks. April 5, 2026 - April 7, 2026, prices of various options maintained high-volatility fluctuations at elevated levels, indicating market consolidation at the highs without single-sided moves over 10c. April 1, 2026 - April 5, 2026, the price of [↑ $115] surged from 62.5c to 89c, and [↑ $120] from 47.5c to 78.5c, due to continued explosive bullish sentiment in crude oil. March 31, 2026 - April 1, 2026, [↑ $120] plummeted from 63.5c to 47.5c due to profit-taking and spot market corrections. March 28, 2026 - March 31, 2026, [↑ $110] surged from 69.5c to 86c driven by escalating geopolitical conflicts.