April 11, 2026 - April 12, 2026, the '70+' option surged from 48.5c to 70.5c. This was caused by traders closing positions on Election Day or early voting signs indicating Fidesz performing slightly better than the previous extremely pessimistic expectations. April 10, 2026 - April 11, 2026, the '80+' option dropped from 51.5c to 35.5c, the '70+' option dropped from 63c to 48.5c, and the '90+' option dropped from 41.5c to 28c. This was caused by market sentiment heavily favoring the opposition on the final day before the election, leading to a further steep discount on the expected ruling party seats. April 9, 2026 - April 10, 2026, the '70+' option dropped from 63c to 54.5c, and the '90+' option dropped from 38.5c to 28.5c. This was caused by the final pre-election media reports and polling adjustments further confirming the opposition's advantage, leading to an overall downward revision of Fidesz's expected seat count. April 9, 2026 - April 10, 2026, the '100+' option dropped significantly from 32c to 22.5c. This was caused by the strong momentum of the opposition Tisza party further weakening market expectations for Fidesz to secure an absolute majority as the election nears. April 8, 2026 - April 9, 2026, the '70+' option plummeted from 79.5c to 60.5c, and the '90+' option spiked to 51c on April 8 before dropping to 35c. This was caused by the release of final pre-election polls triggering a reassessment of Fidesz's base, exacerbated by low liquidity. April 7, 2026 - April 8, 2026, the '90+' option surged from 27c to 51c. This was likely due to traders reassessing Fidesz's structural advantages in single-mandate districts as election day nears, or reacting to new pro-government projection models. April 7, 2026 - April 8, 2026, the '70+' option rose from 67.5c to 79.5c (before retracing), while the '60+' option dropped sharply from 87c to 71.25c. This indicates extreme liquidity shocks and divided opinions regarding the absolute floor of Fidesz's performance. April 6, 2026 - April 7, 2026, the '90+' option experienced a sharp drop from 35.5c to 27c before recovering back to around 31c, highlighting significant market division and low liquidity around this threshold, or reaction to new polling noise. April 3, 2026 - April 6, 2026, the price of the '90+' option dropped from 39.5c to 29.5c. This is driven by continuing shifts in market sentiment favoring the Tisza party as election day approaches, further decreasing confidence in Fidesz's ability to secure 90 seats. April 5, 2026 (16:15 - 17:20), the '110+' option briefly spiked from 14.5c to 25c before retracing. This was likely due to low-liquidity volatility or a brief overreaction by traders to the pro-government Nézőpont Institute's projection that Fidesz could win 109 seats. April 2, 2026 - April 5, 2026, the price of the '60+' option dropped from 97.45c to 87.4c. This is due to extreme market anxiety that Fidesz might suffer a catastrophic collapse as the opposition Tisza party maintains strong momentum right before the election. March 24, 2026 - March 27, 2026, the price of the '90+' option dropped significantly from 54.5c to 40.5c. This was likely driven by shifting market sentiment favoring the Tisza party as election day approaches, decreasing confidence in Fidesz's ability to secure 90 seats.