AI Signal Dashboard
Last updated: 04.11 18:04
Top Undervalued
+9.5¢
Predict / Prediction / Predicted(No)
+6.7¢
Crypto / Bitcoin(No)
+6.6¢
Tube(No)
What will Trump say this week? (April 12) AI analysis: Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.
Undervalued Options Insights:
With only about 6 hours left until expiration, time decay has reached its absolute peak. Unless Trum...
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Outcomes
Market
Price
AI Fair
Value
Value
Edge
Predict / Prediction / Predicted
YesNo
29.5¢
70.5¢
20¢
80¢
0¢
+9.5¢
Crypto / Bitcoin
YesNo
9.65¢
90.35¢
3¢
97¢
0¢
+6.7¢
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⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Rule Risk
The rules strictly exclude Truth Social posts and written statements, limiting valid mentions to recorded verbal instances only. This heavily contradicts the casual intuition of Trump 'saying' something and acts as a major trap for bettors. Additionally, there are strict boundary constraints on plurals, possessives, and compound words.
Exotics
This is a typical political-entertainment 'bingo' market. Prior to seeing this event, practically no one would seriously predict whether Trump would utter completely random words like 'Potato' or 'Stone Age' in a given week, making it a highly novelty and entertaining market.
Movers
April 10, 2026 - April 11, 2026, the price of Lee / Zeldin plummeted from 48.5c to 15c, indicating that the short-term window for relevant personnel expectations is closing rapidly as time runs out.
April 10, 2026 - April 11, 2026, the price of Keir / Starmer plummeted from 48c to 21.5c, due to the passage of time without any relevant mentions, leading to rapidly cooling market expectations.
April 10, 2026 - April 11, 2026, the price of Predict / Prediction / Predicted dropped significantly from 55c to 24c, as time decay shattered expectations.
April 10, 2026 - April 11, 2026, the price of Common Sense / Commonsense crashed from 57.5c to 2.5c before rebounding to 15.5c, reflecting an extreme sell-off after an expected speech concluded, followed by minor residual bets.
April 10, 2026 - April 11, 2026, the price of Two weeks crashed from 63c to 15c and then rebounded to 32.5c, reflecting extreme volatility and uncertainty over whether the catchphrase would be mentioned at the last minute.
April 10, 2026, the price of Pam / Bondi continued its fall from 32c to 19c, as the anticipated mention did not occur and time is running out.
April 9, 2026 - April 10, 2026, the price of Two weeks rebounded and surged from 56.5c to 75c, reflecting market expectations that the common catchphrase is highly likely to be mentioned in the final two days.
April 7, 2026 - April 10, 2026, the price of Predict / Prediction / Predicted dropped significantly from 74c to 35.5c, indicating that market expectations are cooling rapidly as it has not been mentioned.
April 8, 2026 - April 9, 2026, the price of Predict / Prediction / Predicted dropped from 62.5c to 52c, hitting a low of 17.5c during this period. This extreme volatility reflects rapid shifts in expectations of its mention and the pressure of time decay.
April 8, 2026 - April 9, 2026, the price of Lee / Zeldin fluctuated from 47.5c to 48.5c, having dropped to 23c in between, reflecting extreme instability in expectations regarding relevant personnel appointments or interactive mentions.
April 8, 2026 - April 9, 2026, the price of Pam / Bondi crashed from 57c to 32c, because the anticipated mention did not occur and very little time remains.
April 8, 2026 - April 9, 2026, the price of Common Sense / Commonsense plummeted from 63c to 29.5c, as an expected major speech concluded without its mention, leaving very little time on the clock.
April 8, 2026 - April 9, 2026, the price of Kharg Island crashed from 56c to 23.5c, indicating a sharp cooling in expectations for military and geopolitical rhetoric as the short-term news cycle shifted.
April 8, 2026 - April 9, 2026, the price of Delcy / Rodriguez plummeted from 54.5c to 18.5c as the relevance of the topic quickly faded.
April 6, 2026 - April 9, 2026, the price of Boots on the ground plunged from 66.5c to 19c, indicating a sharp cooling in expectations for military and geopolitical rhetoric.
April 7, 2026 - April 9, 2026, the price of King Charles fell from 50.5c to 23.5c, as relevant diplomatic or international news events failed to prompt Trump to mention the term publicly.